Do I ship it?

Games › Traditional Roguelike › Traditional Roguelike + Board Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Board Game Traditional Roguelike?

Traditional Roguelike + Board Game

Of 24 developers who shipped a Board Game Traditional Roguelike in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $780, ×1.6 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $60; 1 in 20 cleared $11k, ×25 the market median. Revenue is down 60% on the market; 20 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 60% on the market, 20 announced, ×1.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Traditional Roguelike + Board Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 24
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.1k → $12k → $779 (still earning) → $239 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Traditional Roguelike + Board Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 24
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $779 (exactly $779)
Top 25% $4.8k (exactly $4,795)
Top 5% $12k (exactly $11,677)
Developers, 2 yr 24
Released games 34
Announced 20
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 60% on the market, supply 280% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Traditional Roguelike
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Board Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Traditional Roguelike, Board Game; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Roguelike, Strategy, Roguelite
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful, 2D, Hand-drawn
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 512 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $780, 1 in 4 over $4.7k, 1 in 20 over $11k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Traditional Roguelike with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Female ProtagonistFair15 devs · median $2.9k · 19 announced
  2. + Procedural GenerationFair71 devs · median $2.0k · 93 announced
  3. + CRPGFair12 devs · median $1.9k · 13 announced
  4. + Perma DeathFair49 devs · median $1.8k · 55 announced
  5. + Turn-Based CombatFair81 devs · median $1.4k · 107 announced
  6. + Sci-fiFair26 devs · median $1.4k · 23 announced
  7. + TacticalFair38 devs · median $987 · 57 announced
  8. + FantasyFair99 devs · median $898 · 125 announced
  9. + Turn-Based StrategyFair63 devs · median $779 · 101 announced
  10. + Turn-Based TacticsFair78 devs · median $629 · 95 announced
  11. + RoguelikeFair247 devs · median $599 · 314 announced
  12. + StrategyFair152 devs · median $599 · 207 announced

All 54 pairs on the Traditional Roguelike page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Prime of Flames 2022 · $277k Endgame of Devil 2023 · $202k Flick Shot Rogues 2025 · $133k Right and Down 2022 · $60k XenoWorld ~The Rondeau of Astra~ 2023 · $37k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Prime of Flames older $9.99 923 84% 28k $277k (exactly $276,623) RAYKA STUDIO
Endgame of Devil older $6.99 964 88% 29k $202k (exactly $202,151) MiniWhale
Flick Shot Rogues $14.99 295 87% 8.9k $133k (exactly $132,662) Butter By The Fish
Right and Down older $9.99 200 80% 6.0k $60k (exactly $59,940) mc2games
XenoWorld ~The Rondeau of Astra~ older $10.99 112 75% 3.4k $37k (exactly $36,926) IMaiIna_, INA
Dice Dice Baby $4.99 78 88% 2.3k $12k (exactly $11,677) Nugget Games Studio
Boardlike · EA $12.99 27 70% 810 $11k (exactly $10,522) Bozz
Coinsweeper $4.99 43 86% 1.3k $6.4k (exactly $6,437) Duo Forge Games
Divineblaze : March Tactics $14.99 12 66% 360 $5.4k (exactly $5,396) LD Game Studio
Snake Eyes Dungeon older $4.99 35 62% 1.1k $5.2k (exactly $5,240) Tetabester
Dead Soul TowerDefense:Shadow Labyrinth $9.99 16 50% 480 $4.8k (exactly $4,795) HY Indie Game
Tetra Dungeon $4.99 25 88% 750 $3.7k (exactly $3,742) 套鹿工作室
Tavrik $11.99 6 100% 180 $2.2k (exactly $2,158) Nyra Games
Somnial Ouija $7.99 6 50% 180 $1.4k (exactly $1,438) ToMeng Studio
Mahjong Expedition $8.99 4 75% 120 $1.1k (exactly $1,079) COSO

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.