Do I ship it?

GamesInvestigationInvestigation + Board Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Investigation Board Game?

Investigation + Board Game

Only 19 developers shipped an Investigation Board Game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Horror at Highrook, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.0k, ×2.2 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $270k, ×582 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 25 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 25 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Investigation + Board Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 19
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.3k → $899 → $3.6M → $9.0k → $300 → $300 (still earning) → $1.1k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Investigation + Board Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 19
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $1.0k (exactly $1,048)
Top 25% $6.6k (exactly $6,584)
Top 5% $276k (exactly $276,462)
Developers, 2 yr 19
Released games 50
Announced 25
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $7.62

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 180% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Investigation
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Board Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Investigation, Board Game; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry PvP, Simulation
Price point
$7.62 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Dialogue Heavy, Text-Based
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.62.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 836 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $1.0k, 1 in 4 over $6.5k, 1 in 20 over $270k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 25 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Investigation with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Escape RoomFair61 devs · median $2.1k · 50 announced
  2. + IdlerFair15 devs · median $898 · 16 announced
  3. + TriviaLong shot8 devs · median $215 · 9 announced
  4. + LGBTQ+Poor odds42 devs · median $39k · 70 announced
  5. + JRPGPoor odds16 devs · median $12k · 27 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds64 devs · median $9.0k · 121 announced
  7. + RomancePoor odds62 devs · median $9.0k · 101 announced
  8. + GothicPoor odds26 devs · median $8.1k · 54 announced
  9. + LovecraftianPoor odds56 devs · median $7.2k · 104 announced
  10. + Dating SimPoor odds37 devs · median $6.6k · 50 announced
  11. + Card GamePoor odds14 devs · median $6.6k · 34 announced
  12. + SciencePoor odds21 devs · median $5.9k · 36 announced

All 134 pairs on the Investigation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Depersonalization older $19.99 6,041 92% 181k $3.6M (exactly $3,622,788) MeowNature
Clue/Cluedo: Classic Edition older $16.99 3,096 88% 93k $1.6M (exactly $1,578,031) Marmalade Game Studio Ltd
The Horror at Highrook $19.99 461 90% 14k $276k (exactly $276,462) Nullpointer Games
Clue/Cluedo older $14.99 489 89% 15k $220k (exactly $219,903) Marmalade Game Studio Ltd
Dangerous High School Girls in Trouble!™ older $19.99 102 71% 3.1k $61k (exactly $61,169) Mousechief
Rough Justice: '84 older $19.99 67 64% 2.0k $40k (exactly $40,180) Gamma Minus
Deadly Trick · EA $8.99 141 95% 4.2k $38k (exactly $38,028) Finalblow Co.
Lateral Thinking Together · EA $5.99 85 43% 2.6k $15k (exactly $15,274) PushForward
초동수사 - 증언/증거 추리게임 $4.99 60 80% 1.8k $9.0k (exactly $8,982) leeroom shin
PENTALOOP -ペンタループ- $3.99 55 72% 1.7k $6.6k (exactly $6,584) イバラユーギ×ひろゆ~プロジェクト
Detective 26 $7.62 15 80% 450 $3.4k (exactly $3,429) TestOneDev
Hexa's Gone $9.99 5 100% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) DevloCore
Whoowasit? $14.99 3 66% 90 $1.3k (exactly $1,349) Korion Interactive
Chalk & Blood · EA $8.99 4 50% 120 $1.1k (exactly $1,079) BoiraTech
Find The Flaw $4.99 7 71% 210 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) XSGames

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.