Do I ship it?

Games › Battle Royale › Battle Royale + War

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a War Battle Royale?

Battle Royale + War

Only 11 developers shipped a War Battle Royale in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Battlefield™ 6, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 41 more are announced, ×6.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 10 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $59 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $1.3k for a 10 / 10 build. 6 developers shipped in the last year and 41 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 40% on the market, 41 announced, ×6.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Battle Royale + War
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $899 → $772 → $299 → $179 → $1.2k → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Battle Royale + War: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $59 (exactly $59)
Top 25% $1.2k (exactly $1,197)
Top 5% $620M (exactly $620,339,567)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 91
Announced 41
Effort 10 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 29%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Battle Royale
effort 10 / 10 · low · 100-player servers and constant live ops
War
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
10 / 10 · studio only
Systems
Battle Royale
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 7 games average 63% positive over 295,584 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $59, 1 in 4 over $1.1k, 1 in 20 over $620M.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 41 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Battle Royale with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Immersive SimFair13 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  2. + MysteryLong shot12 devs · median $359 · 9 announced
  3. + LootPoor odds9 devs · median $4.3k · 23 announced
  4. + SportsPoor odds18 devs · median $3.8k · 26 announced
  5. + Hero ShooterPoor odds9 devs · median $3.6k · 29 announced
  6. + PuzzlePoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 21 announced
  7. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds12 devs · median $3.2k · 18 announced
  8. + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 30 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds34 devs · median $1.3k · 89 announced
  10. + SandboxPoor odds7 devs · median $1.2k · 20 announced
  11. + 4 Player LocalPoor odds17 devs · median $898 · 28 announced
  12. + RoguelitePoor odds14 devs · median $748 · 20 announced

All 91 pairs on the Battle Royale page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Battlefield™ 6 2025 · $620M Battlefield™ V 2020 · $355M Call of Duty®: Modern Warfare® 2023 · $78M Contractors Showdown : ExfilZone 2024 · $2.0M Ancient Wars: Sparta Definitive Edition 2022 · EA · $272k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Battlefield™ 6 $69.99 295,442 63% 8.9M $620M (exactly $620,339,567) Battlefield Studios
Battlefield™ V older $49.99 236,709 70% 7.1M $355M (exactly $354,992,487) DICE
Call of Duty®: Modern Warfare® older $59.99 43,229 79% 1.3M $78M (exactly $77,799,231) Infinity Ward, Beenox, High Moon Studio… (Infinity Ward, Beenox, High Moon Studios, Raven Software)
Contractors Showdown : ExfilZone older $19.99 3,353 68% 101k $2.0M (exactly $2,010,794) Caveman Studio
Ancient Wars: Sparta Definitive Edition · EA older $19.99 453 74% 14k $272k (exactly $271,664) JOTASOFT STUDIOS
SEX with HITLER 2 older $9.99 402 86% 12k $120k (exactly $120,479) Adolf Games
Dawn of Anarchy $13.99 125 84% 3.8k $52k (exactly $52,462) Quacky Games
EarthRoyale older $7.99 170 85% 5.1k $41k (exactly $40,749) Lizzycat / Lizabeth Gidlund
universe treasure older $13.99 91 58% 2.7k $38k (exactly $38,193) モンスター研
SurvivalZ Battlegrounds older $1.99 266 64% 8.0k $16k (exactly $15,880) RewindApp
Forest $3.99 10 0% 300 $1.2k (exactly $1,197) Ihor Lema
Royale Battle $15.99 1 0% 30 $480 (exactly $480) ebc studios
Drone Fire $2.99 2 100% 60 $179 (exactly $179) QplusQ
DudeGo $0.99 2 50% 60 $59 (exactly $59) FussyCraft
Battle $0.99 2 50% 60 $59 (exactly $59) DIG Games
Tomo Arena $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) TOMO Games
motorcycle combat $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) QplusQ
CLAWS: Command Line Advanced Warfare System $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Adam Abdelhamed Sr

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.