Do I ship it?

GamesBattle RoyaleBattle Royale + Tactical RPG

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Tactical RPG Battle Royale?

Battle Royale + Tactical RPG

Only 9 developers shipped a Tactical RPG Battle Royale in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Great Axe, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced, ×8.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 10 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $89 against a market of $1.3k. 16 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.1 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 16 announced, ×8.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Battle Royale + Tactical RPG
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $598 → $7.8k → $3.2k
Outcomes for Battle Royale + Tactical RPG: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $89 (exactly $89)
Top 25% $598 (exactly $598)
Top 5% $4.2k (exactly $4,196)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 32
Announced 16
Effort 10 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 70% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Battle Royale
effort 10 / 10 · low · 100-player servers and constant live ops
Tactical RPG
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
10 / 10 · studio only
Systems
Battle Royale, Tactical RPG; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Strategy, Adventure
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Third Person, Colorful, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 9 games average 87% positive over 118 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $89, 1 in 4 over $590, 1 in 20 over $4.1k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 16 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×8.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Battle Royale with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Immersive SimFair13 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  2. + MysteryLong shot12 devs · median $359 · 9 announced
  3. + LootPoor odds9 devs · median $4.3k · 23 announced
  4. + SportsPoor odds18 devs · median $3.8k · 26 announced
  5. + Hero ShooterPoor odds9 devs · median $3.6k · 29 announced
  6. + PuzzlePoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 21 announced
  7. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds12 devs · median $3.2k · 18 announced
  8. + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 30 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds34 devs · median $1.3k · 89 announced
  10. + SandboxPoor odds7 devs · median $1.2k · 20 announced
  11. + 4 Player LocalPoor odds17 devs · median $898 · 28 announced
  12. + RoguelitePoor odds14 devs · median $748 · 20 announced

All 91 pairs on the Battle Royale page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Multiwinia older $11.99 409 82% 12k $147k (exactly $147,117) Introversion Software
惊险极速 · EA older $6.99 91 97% 2.7k $19k (exactly $19,083) 个人
The Great Axe $19.99 13 84% 390 $7.8k (exactly $7,796) Gamesforgames
Summoner's Automata $9.99 14 85% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Gamesforgames
Maniac Path 3 $9.99 12 100% 360 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Gamesforgames
鬼灵的冒险GUILING's Adventure $1.99 54 94% 1.6k $3.2k (exactly $3,224) 硅晶石工作室Sicrystal Studio
Human Madness older $7.99 9 11% 270 $2.2k (exactly $2,157) The One
Zoo Tales older $9.99 6 50% 180 $1.8k (exactly $1,798) Soein Studio, ChiEn, 十六椰子
Escape From Clive older $2.99 13 61% 390 $1.2k (exactly $1,166) Dog On God
The Last Bug $3.99 5 100% 150 $598 (exactly $598) 苦柚Games
Doomvile Brainrot $0.99 15 66% 450 $446 (exactly $446) Gamesforgames
Omega Luma : The First Battle $12.99 1 0% 30 $390 (exactly $390) Mavi Game Studios
Phantom Break $0.99 3 66% 90 $89 (exactly $89) AA Mini Games Studio
zombie tide incoming Rising $0.99 1 0% 30 $30 (exactly $30) AA Mini Games Studio
末日行者/to the Eden $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) 翥游

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.