Do I ship it?

Games › Battle Royale › Battle Royale + Strategy

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Strategy Battle Royale?

Battle Royale + Strategy

Of 45 developers who shipped a Strategy Battle Royale in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 108 more are announced, ×4.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 10 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $180 in the last 2 years and $240 over 4, against a market of $1.3k for a 10 / 10 build. 24 developers shipped in the last year and 108 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 50% on the market, 108 announced, ×4.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Battle Royale + Strategy
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 45
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $148 → $570 → $1.5k → $598 → $449 → $3.8k → $60 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Battle Royale + Strategy: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 45
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $179 (exactly $179)
Top 25% $1.3k (exactly $1,258)
Top 5% $237k (exactly $237,130)
Developers, 2 yr 45
Released games 249
Announced 108
Effort 10 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 31%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Battle Royale
effort 10 / 10 · low · 100-player servers and constant live ops
Strategy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
10 / 10 · studio only
Systems
Battle Royale, Strategy; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Simulation
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $13.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Third Person, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $13.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 7,452 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $180, 1 in 4 over $1.2k, 1 in 20 over $230k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 53 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 108 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Battle Royale with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Immersive SimFair13 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  2. + MysteryLong shot12 devs · median $359 · 9 announced
  3. + LootPoor odds9 devs · median $4.3k · 23 announced
  4. + SportsPoor odds18 devs · median $3.8k · 26 announced
  5. + Hero ShooterPoor odds9 devs · median $3.6k · 29 announced
  6. + PuzzlePoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 21 announced
  7. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds12 devs · median $3.2k · 18 announced
  8. + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 30 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds34 devs · median $1.3k · 89 announced
  10. + SandboxPoor odds7 devs · median $1.2k · 20 announced
  11. + 4 Player LocalPoor odds17 devs · median $898 · 28 announced
  12. + RoguelitePoor odds14 devs · median $748 · 20 announced

All 91 pairs on the Battle Royale page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Wildgate 2025 · $4.5M Deceive Inc. 2023 · $2.9M Worms Rumble 2020 · $764k DEPLOYMENT 2018 · $428k Ancient Wars: Sparta Definitive Edition 2022 · EA · $272k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Wildgate $29.99 5,032 77% 151k $4.5M (exactly $4,527,290) Moonshot Games
Deceive Inc. older $19.99 4,755 84% 143k $2.9M (exactly $2,851,574) Sweet Bandits Studios
Worms Rumble older $14.99 1,698 60% 51k $764k (exactly $763,591) Team17 Digital
DEPLOYMENT older $14.99 951 85% 29k $428k (exactly $427,665) Whale Rock Games
Ancient Wars: Sparta Definitive Edition · EA older $19.99 453 74% 14k $272k (exactly $271,664) JOTASOFT STUDIOS
Evil School $7.99 1,058 92% 32k $254k (exactly $253,603) CineGame Interactive
Backpack Jianghu $13.99 565 80% 17k $237k (exactly $237,130) 背包工作室
WARCANA older $16.99 443 62% 13k $226k (exactly $225,797) 1000 Orks
The Joker's Game $11.99 486 82% 15k $175k (exactly $174,814) All In Game Co., Limited
Hidden in Plain Sight older $5.99 922 99% 28k $166k (exactly $165,683) Adam Spragg
Dawn of Anarchy $13.99 125 84% 3.8k $52k (exactly $52,462) Quacky Games
Polygon Bit Battle Royale $9.99 93 60% 2.8k $28k (exactly $27,872) Army Troop Studios
烧尾宴 $8.99 52 75% 1.6k $14k (exactly $14,024) 有点正经
The Great Axe $19.99 13 84% 390 $7.8k (exactly $7,796) Gamesforgames
Quack Attack $9.99 14 71% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Illutrium
Winning Tactics $9.99 14 78% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Gamesforgames

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.