Do I ship it?

GamesBattle RoyaleBattle Royale + Space

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Space Battle Royale?

Battle Royale + Space

Only 7 developers shipped a Space Battle Royale in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Wildgate, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced, ×12 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 10 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $120 against a market of $1.3k. 23 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.1 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 23 announced, ×12 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Battle Royale + Space
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Battle Royale + Space: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $120 (exactly $120)
Top 25% $52k (exactly $52,462)
Top 5% $4.5M (exactly $4,527,290)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 36
Announced 23
Effort 10 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.00

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 60% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 33%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Battle Royale
effort 10 / 10 · low · 100-player servers and constant live ops
Space
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
10 / 10 · studio only
Systems
Battle Royale
Price point
$7.00 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 76% positive over 5,887 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $120, 1 in 4 over $52k, 1 in 20 over $4.5M.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 6 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 23 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×12 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Battle Royale with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Immersive SimFair13 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  2. + MysteryLong shot12 devs · median $359 · 9 announced
  3. + LootPoor odds9 devs · median $4.3k · 23 announced
  4. + SportsPoor odds18 devs · median $3.8k · 26 announced
  5. + Hero ShooterPoor odds9 devs · median $3.6k · 29 announced
  6. + PuzzlePoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 21 announced
  7. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds12 devs · median $3.2k · 18 announced
  8. + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 30 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds34 devs · median $1.3k · 89 announced
  10. + SandboxPoor odds7 devs · median $1.2k · 20 announced
  11. + 4 Player LocalPoor odds17 devs · median $898 · 28 announced
  12. + RoguelitePoor odds14 devs · median $748 · 20 announced

All 91 pairs on the Battle Royale page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Wildgate $29.99 5,032 77% 151k $4.5M (exactly $4,527,290) Moonshot Games
SUPER BOMBERMAN R 2 older $49.99 149 53% 4.5k $223k (exactly $223,455) KONAMI
Arkanoid - Eternal Battle older $9.99 245 66% 7.4k $73k (exactly $73,426) Pastagames
The Wraith of the Galaxy · EA older $11.99 161 81% 4.8k $58k (exactly $57,912) Whale Rock Games
Dawn of Anarchy $13.99 125 84% 3.8k $52k (exactly $52,462) Quacky Games
universe treasure older $13.99 91 58% 2.7k $38k (exactly $38,193) モンスター研
FMTC $7.00 75 78% 2.3k $16k (exactly $15,750) FMTC
Burst Planet · EA older $19.99 4 75% 120 $2.4k (exactly $2,399) KX Games
Space Nations - Battlearena · EA older $13.99 4 100% 120 $1.7k (exactly $1,679) Linked Bits
CREATURES older $24.99 1 0% 30 $750 (exactly $750) RaxPlay, CREATURES
Dungeons Bomb $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) MARIOZY
Pool Ball Battle Royale $5.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Kiran M, CrazyPenguin0111
Space Vortex $25.00 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Hosny
MineZone $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Seongdu-yeom

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.