Do I ship it?

GamesBattle RoyaleBattle Royale + Shoot 'Em Up

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Shoot 'Em Up Battle Royale?

Battle Royale + Shoot 'Em Up

Only 7 developers shipped a Shoot 'Em Up Battle Royale in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Quack Attack, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 31 more are announced, ×7.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 10 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $0 against a market of $1.3k. 31 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 31 announced, ×7.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Battle Royale + Shoot 'Em Up
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Battle Royale + Shoot 'Em Up: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $0 (exactly $0)
Top 25% $120 (exactly $120)
Top 5% $4.2k (exactly $4,196)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 64
Announced 31
Effort 10 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 31%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Battle Royale
effort 10 / 10 · low · 100-player servers and constant live ops
Shoot 'Em Up
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
10 / 10 · studio only
Systems
Battle Royale, Shoot 'Em Up
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 76% positive over 1,087 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $0, 1 in 4 over $120, 1 in 20 over $4.1k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 31 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Battle Royale with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Immersive SimFair13 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  2. + MysteryLong shot12 devs · median $359 · 9 announced
  3. + LootPoor odds9 devs · median $4.3k · 23 announced
  4. + SportsPoor odds18 devs · median $3.8k · 26 announced
  5. + Hero ShooterPoor odds9 devs · median $3.6k · 29 announced
  6. + PuzzlePoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 21 announced
  7. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds12 devs · median $3.2k · 18 announced
  8. + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 30 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds34 devs · median $1.3k · 89 announced
  10. + SandboxPoor odds7 devs · median $1.2k · 20 announced
  11. + 4 Player LocalPoor odds17 devs · median $898 · 28 announced
  12. + RoguelitePoor odds14 devs · median $748 · 20 announced

All 91 pairs on the Battle Royale page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Wraith of the Galaxy · EA older $11.99 161 81% 4.8k $58k (exactly $57,912) Whale Rock Games
Soul Saber 2 older $9.99 180 59% 5.4k $54k (exactly $53,946) Yamadaya
universe treasure older $13.99 91 58% 2.7k $38k (exactly $38,193) モンスター研
NEKO ARENA older $1.99 444 83% 13k $27k (exactly $26,507) Neko Cloud
Quack Attack $9.99 14 71% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Illutrium
Catnight older $4.99 21 76% 630 $3.1k (exactly $3,144) Rubber Croc
Among Ass 2: Butt Warfare older $0.99 98 84% 2.9k $2.9k (exactly $2,911) Volens Nolens Games
Hentai Angel: Smite the Nazis older $1.99 42 78% 1.3k $2.5k (exactly $2,507) DarkLight Studio
Trap Arena older $1.99 27 62% 810 $1.6k (exactly $1,612) Laush Dmitriy Sergeevich
QUICAL older $4.99 9 66% 270 $1.3k (exactly $1,347) sakastudio
Suds · EA $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) Honeybell Games
Dungeons Bomb $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) MARIOZY
Robot Rampage $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Robert MacRae
GastroNomicon · EA $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) TH3 NΔKOMΔ PROTOCOL
STICKMAN DX : MEGA FIGHTERS $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) LITTLE Z
Top Down Battle Royale 2D $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Shamrock Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.