Do I ship it?

Games › Battle Royale › Battle Royale + Real Time Tactics

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Real Time Tactics Battle Royale?

Battle Royale + Real Time Tactics

Only 12 developers shipped a Real Time Tactics Battle Royale in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Dawn of Anarchy, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 30 more are announced, ×5.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 10 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $240 in the last 2 years and $210 over 4, against a market of $1.3k for a 10 / 10 build. 6 developers shipped in the last year and 30 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 30 announced, ×5.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Battle Royale + Real Time Tactics
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $570 → $7.8k → $239 → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Battle Royale + Real Time Tactics: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $239 (exactly $239)
Top 25% $4.2k (exactly $4,196)
Top 5% $52k (exactly $52,462)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 55
Announced 30
Effort 10 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 35%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Battle Royale
effort 10 / 10 · low · 100-player servers and constant live ops
Real Time Tactics
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
10 / 10 · studio only
Systems
Battle Royale, Real Time Tactics
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 8 games average 85% positive over 215 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $240, 1 in 4 over $4.1k, 1 in 20 over $52k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 7 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 30 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Battle Royale with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Immersive SimFair13 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  2. + MysteryLong shot12 devs · median $359 · 9 announced
  3. + LootPoor odds9 devs · median $4.3k · 23 announced
  4. + SportsPoor odds18 devs · median $3.8k · 26 announced
  5. + Hero ShooterPoor odds9 devs · median $3.6k · 29 announced
  6. + PuzzlePoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 21 announced
  7. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds12 devs · median $3.2k · 18 announced
  8. + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 30 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds34 devs · median $1.3k · 89 announced
  10. + SandboxPoor odds7 devs · median $1.2k · 20 announced
  11. + 4 Player LocalPoor odds17 devs · median $898 · 28 announced
  12. + RoguelitePoor odds14 devs · median $748 · 20 announced

All 91 pairs on the Battle Royale page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Ancient Wars: Sparta Definitive Edition 2022 · EA · $272k Hidden in Plain Sight 2014 · $166k Multiwinia 2008 · $147k Dawn of Anarchy 2025 · $52k 惊险极速 2021 · EA · $19k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Ancient Wars: Sparta Definitive Edition · EA older $19.99 453 74% 14k $272k (exactly $271,664) JOTASOFT STUDIOS
Hidden in Plain Sight older $5.99 922 99% 28k $166k (exactly $165,683) Adam Spragg
Multiwinia older $11.99 409 82% 12k $147k (exactly $147,117) Introversion Software
Dawn of Anarchy $13.99 125 84% 3.8k $52k (exactly $52,462) Quacky Games
惊险极速 · EA older $6.99 91 97% 2.7k $19k (exactly $19,083) 个人
CUBE ROYALE · EA older $9.99 47 93% 1.4k $14k (exactly $14,086) Creature Factory
Battle royale simulator older $9.99 27 44% 810 $8.1k (exactly $8,092) WhackAKey Games
The Great Axe $19.99 13 84% 390 $7.8k (exactly $7,796) Gamesforgames
Only Out $4.99 40 95% 1.2k $6.0k (exactly $5,988) Shark Studio
Summoner's Automata $9.99 14 85% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Gamesforgames
Toilet Battle $4.99 5 80% 150 $748 (exactly $748) BBK
Tropical Hop $15.99 1 0% 30 $480 (exactly $480) cls studios
Doomvile Brainrot $0.99 15 66% 450 $446 (exactly $446) Gamesforgames
No Kings Tiny Defenders $3.99 2 100% 60 $239 (exactly $239) Doru.best
BlastLast $6.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Alexoid Studio
Hunted Hunter $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Athmos Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.