Do I ship it?

Games › Battle Royale › Battle Royale + Post-apocalyptic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Post-apocalyptic Battle Royale?

Battle Royale + Post-apocalyptic

Only 8 developers shipped a Post-apocalyptic Battle Royale in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Last Remains, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 31 more are announced, ×10 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 10 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $2.5k against a market of $1.3k. 31 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 65% on the market, 31 announced, ×10 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Battle Royale + Post-apocalyptic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.2k → $2.5k → $480 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Battle Royale + Post-apocalyptic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $480 (exactly $480)
Median $2.5k (exactly $2,516)
Top 25% $17k (exactly $17,147)
Top 5% $548k (exactly $548,126)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 47
Announced 31
Effort 10 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $12.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 28%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Battle Royale
effort 10 / 10 · low · 100-player servers and constant live ops
Post-apocalyptic
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
10 / 10 · studio only
Systems
Battle Royale
Price point
$12.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 56% positive over 1,338 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $480, median $2.5k, 1 in 4 over $17k, 1 in 20 over $540k.

3 in 10 developers made under $480. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 31 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×10 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Battle Royale with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Immersive SimFair13 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  2. + MysteryLong shot12 devs · median $359 · 9 announced
  3. + LootPoor odds9 devs · median $4.3k · 23 announced
  4. + SportsPoor odds18 devs · median $3.8k · 26 announced
  5. + Hero ShooterPoor odds9 devs · median $3.6k · 29 announced
  6. + PuzzlePoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 21 announced
  7. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds12 devs · median $3.2k · 18 announced
  8. + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 30 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds34 devs · median $1.3k · 89 announced
  10. + SandboxPoor odds7 devs · median $1.2k · 20 announced
  11. + 4 Player LocalPoor odds17 devs · median $898 · 28 announced
  12. + RoguelitePoor odds14 devs · median $748 · 20 announced

All 91 pairs on the Battle Royale page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Last Remains 2025 · EA · $548k Passed Out 2023 · EA · $57k HardPunch: Sex Plague 2021 · $18k Vienkiemis 2026 · EA · $17k Until Last Tomorrow 2023 · EA · $6.0k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Last Remains · EA $19.99 914 51% 27k $548k (exactly $548,126) Earn Alliance
Passed Out · EA older $9.99 189 71% 5.7k $57k (exactly $56,643) Tacty Studio
HardPunch: Sex Plague older $11.99 51 41% 1.5k $18k (exactly $18,345) by Cassandra
Vienkiemis · EA $12.99 44 100% 1.3k $17k (exactly $17,147) dssob, SMEIVIS
Until Last Tomorrow · EA older $24.99 8 75% 240 $6.0k (exactly $5,998) BRDynamic Studios
Zaacar · EA older $11.99 13 38% 390 $4.7k (exactly $4,676) Axoora
Difficult times $9.99 13 92% 390 $3.9k (exactly $3,896) Gamesforgames
CRAST $5.99 14 35% 420 $2.5k (exactly $2,516) Qazaq Games Studio
Dragon Simulator Multiplayer older $0.99 84 72% 2.5k $2.5k (exactly $2,495) FreezeNova
NecroLand : Undead Corps older $9.99 8 25% 240 $2.4k (exactly $2,398) JANUS LABS
SurrounDead Poly Construction $15.99 1 100% 30 $480 (exactly $480) LivingEveryday
SurrounDead Poly ‌Japan Sakura · EA $15.99 1 100% 30 $480 (exactly $480) LivingEveryday
Forbidden zone $4.99 3 0% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Karuna
zombie tide incoming Rising $0.99 1 0% 30 $30 (exactly $30) AA Mini Games Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.