Do I ship it?

GamesBattle RoyaleBattle Royale + Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Platformer Battle Royale?

Battle Royale + Platformer

Only 17 developers shipped a Platformer Battle Royale in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Lunars, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 31 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 10 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $180 in the last 2 years and $240 over 4, against a market of $1.3k for a 10 / 10 build. 11 developers shipped in the last year and 31 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 31 announced, ×2.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Battle Royale + Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.9k → $180 → $239 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Battle Royale + Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $180 (exactly $180)
Top 25% $3.9k (exactly $3,896)
Top 5% $18k (exactly $17,988)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 71
Announced 31
Effort 10 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 85% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 28%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Battle Royale
effort 10 / 10 · low · 100-player servers and constant live ops
Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
10 / 10 · studio only
Systems
Battle Royale, Platformer; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry PvP, Action, Racing
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Colorful, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 227 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $180, 1 in 4 over $3.8k, 1 in 20 over $17k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 31 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Battle Royale with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Immersive SimFair13 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  2. + MysteryLong shot12 devs · median $359 · 9 announced
  3. + LootPoor odds9 devs · median $4.3k · 23 announced
  4. + SportsPoor odds18 devs · median $3.8k · 26 announced
  5. + Hero ShooterPoor odds9 devs · median $3.6k · 29 announced
  6. + PuzzlePoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 21 announced
  7. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds12 devs · median $3.2k · 18 announced
  8. + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 30 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds34 devs · median $1.3k · 89 announced
  10. + SandboxPoor odds7 devs · median $1.2k · 20 announced
  11. + 4 Player LocalPoor odds17 devs · median $898 · 28 announced
  12. + RoguelitePoor odds14 devs · median $748 · 20 announced

All 91 pairs on the Battle Royale page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Worms Rumble older $14.99 1,698 60% 51k $764k (exactly $763,591) Team17 Digital
DEPLOYMENT older $14.99 951 85% 29k $428k (exactly $427,665) Whale Rock Games
LEGO® Brawls older $9.99 663 78% 20k $199k (exactly $198,701) Red Games Co.
Soul Saber 2 older $9.99 180 59% 5.4k $54k (exactly $53,946) Yamadaya
FALL GIRLS older $6.99 187 49% 5.6k $39k (exactly $39,214) Squid Developer
Lunars · EA $14.99 40 97% 1.2k $18k (exactly $17,988) Anubis Arts
ZADETTE older $5.99 67 92% 2.0k $12k (exactly $12,040) Le Club des Sacs
Code Velocity $2.99 99 100% 3.0k $8.9k (exactly $8,880) STIM GAMES
Up or Lava! older $4.99 41 68% 1.2k $6.1k (exactly $6,138) Garden of Dreams
Go All Out older $9.99 18 61% 540 $5.4k (exactly $5,395) Blue Sunset Games
Dirtnap · EA $7.99 19 84% 570 $4.6k (exactly $4,554) Unstable Entity, Part Time Monkey, Nitr… (Unstable Entity, Part Time Monkey, Nitroyale)
Crab Game 2 $3.99 36 22% 1.1k $4.3k (exactly $4,309) Jeff
Difficult times $9.99 13 92% 390 $3.9k (exactly $3,896) Gamesforgames
Maniac Path 3 $9.99 12 100% 360 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Gamesforgames
Tank Fight $7.99 2 100% 60 $479 (exactly $479) Pixel_Gamer, TNT_MAN1111
Bald Guys · EA $2.99 3 100% 90 $269 (exactly $269) Kazooist LLC
BIG BALLS · EA $3.99 2 100% 60 $239 (exactly $239) BIG BALL
Bouncy Escape $5.99 1 100% 30 $180 (exactly $180) Daniel Sitkiewicz

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.