Do I ship it?

GamesBattle RoyaleBattle Royale + Party Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Party Game Battle Royale?

Battle Royale + Party Game

Of 32 developers who shipped a Party Game Battle Royale in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 68 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 10 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $180 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $1.3k for a 10 / 10 build. 24 developers shipped in the last year and 68 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 68 announced, ×2.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Battle Royale + Party Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 32
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $223k → $11k → $719 → $3.1k → $239 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Battle Royale + Party Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 32
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $180 (exactly $180)
Top 25% $3.1k (exactly $3,116)
Top 5% $18k (exactly $17,988)
Developers, 2 yr 32
Released games 77
Announced 68
Effort 10 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 200% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 26%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Battle Royale
effort 10 / 10 · low · 100-player servers and constant live ops
Party Game
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
10 / 10 · studio only
Systems
Battle Royale, Party Game; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, PvP, 3D Platformer
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $13.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Funny, Colorful, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $13.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 372 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $180, 1 in 4 over $3.1k, 1 in 20 over $17k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 68 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Battle Royale with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Immersive SimFair13 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  2. + MysteryLong shot12 devs · median $359 · 9 announced
  3. + LootPoor odds9 devs · median $4.3k · 23 announced
  4. + SportsPoor odds18 devs · median $3.8k · 26 announced
  5. + Hero ShooterPoor odds9 devs · median $3.6k · 29 announced
  6. + PuzzlePoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 21 announced
  7. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds12 devs · median $3.2k · 18 announced
  8. + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 30 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds34 devs · median $1.3k · 89 announced
  10. + SandboxPoor odds7 devs · median $1.2k · 20 announced
  11. + 4 Player LocalPoor odds17 devs · median $898 · 28 announced
  12. + RoguelitePoor odds14 devs · median $748 · 20 announced

All 91 pairs on the Battle Royale page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Headbangers: Rhythm Royale older $29.99 983 69% 29k $884k (exactly $884,405) Glee-Cheese Studio
Who Wants To Be A Millionaire older $29.99 405 52% 12k $364k (exactly $364,378) Appeal Studios, Balio Studio
SUPER BOMBERMAN R 2 older $49.99 149 53% 4.5k $223k (exactly $223,455) KONAMI
Hidden in Plain Sight older $5.99 922 99% 28k $166k (exactly $165,683) Adam Spragg
Kukoro: Stream chat games older $4.99 913 97% 27k $137k (exactly $136,676) HeyNau
Mad Streets older $14.99 200 85% 6.0k $90k (exactly $89,940) Craftshop Arts Inc.
FALL GIRLS older $6.99 187 49% 5.6k $39k (exactly $39,214) Squid Developer
Dusty Derby · EA $9.99 66 100% 2.0k $20k (exactly $19,780) Geniesoft Inc.
Lunars · EA $14.99 40 97% 1.2k $18k (exactly $17,988) Anubis Arts
LASERS older $2.99 127 66% 3.8k $11k (exactly $11,392) Straight Back Games
A Smithing Game $3.99 79 79% 2.4k $9.5k (exactly $9,456) Zoteling
Idiom Royale $1.99 91 63% 2.7k $5.4k (exactly $5,433) NyxWorks
Animic : Attack with your voice ! $4.99 34 85% 1.0k $5.1k (exactly $5,090) FoliesAPP
Holiday Party: Mascot Brawl $13.99 12 100% 360 $5.0k (exactly $5,036) NAMSON Digital
Turbo Balls $4.99 24 75% 720 $3.6k (exactly $3,593) OneTwoPlay
Nitronauts $7.99 13 100% 390 $3.1k (exactly $3,116) Bubble Rocket
Ninjam! $8.99 8 87% 240 $2.2k (exactly $2,158) G-Blossom
Smokin Potions $7.99 5 80% 150 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) Sleeping Robot Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.