Do I ship it?

GamesBattle RoyaleBattle Royale + Parkour

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Parkour Battle Royale?

Battle Royale + Parkour

Only 5 developers shipped a paid Parkour Battle Royale in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Crab Game 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 4 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 15 more are announced, ×7.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 10 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $180 against a market of $1.3k. 15 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.1 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 15 announced, ×7.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Battle Royale + Parkour
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 5

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Battle Royale + Parkour: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 5
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $180 (exactly $180)
Top 25% $239 (exactly $239)
Top 5% $4.3k (exactly $4,309)
Developers, 2 yr 5
Released games 37
Announced 15
Effort 10 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 43%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Battle Royale
effort 10 / 10 · low · 100-player servers and constant live ops
Parkour
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
10 / 10 · studio only
Systems
Battle Royale, Parkour
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $7.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 55% positive over 415 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $180, 1 in 4 over $230, 1 in 20 over $4.3k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 15 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Battle Royale with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Immersive SimFair13 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  2. + MysteryLong shot12 devs · median $359 · 9 announced
  3. + LootPoor odds9 devs · median $4.3k · 23 announced
  4. + SportsPoor odds18 devs · median $3.8k · 26 announced
  5. + Hero ShooterPoor odds9 devs · median $3.6k · 29 announced
  6. + PuzzlePoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 21 announced
  7. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds12 devs · median $3.2k · 18 announced
  8. + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 30 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds34 devs · median $1.3k · 89 announced
  10. + SandboxPoor odds7 devs · median $1.2k · 20 announced
  11. + 4 Player LocalPoor odds17 devs · median $898 · 28 announced
  12. + RoguelitePoor odds14 devs · median $748 · 20 announced

All 91 pairs on the Battle Royale page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
FALL GIRLS older $6.99 187 49% 5.6k $39k (exactly $39,214) Squid Developer
LASERS older $2.99 127 66% 3.8k $11k (exactly $11,392) Straight Back Games
Up or Lava! older $4.99 41 68% 1.2k $6.1k (exactly $6,138) Garden of Dreams
Crab Game 2 $3.99 36 22% 1.1k $4.3k (exactly $4,309) Jeff
Monkey Doo older $14.99 9 66% 270 $4.0k (exactly $4,047) Continuum XR
CrazyParty · EA older $7.99 6 66% 180 $1.4k (exactly $1,438) Kentaro
Commando Hero 2 : First Blood older $2.99 5 60% 150 $449 (exactly $449) Montee Games
Super Bora Dragon Eyes older $12.99 1 100% 30 $390 (exactly $390) celikgames
Christmas Runner older $7.99 1 0% 30 $240 (exactly $240) xe2050
BIG BALLS · EA $3.99 2 100% 60 $239 (exactly $239) BIG BALL
Bouncy Escape $5.99 1 100% 30 $180 (exactly $180) Daniel Sitkiewicz
Crabs: Chef's Story · EA $10.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) 3 Guns Ltd
Maze escape $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) ZZ

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.