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Should I ship an MMORPG Battle Royale?
Battle Royale + MMORPG
Only 3 developers shipped a paid MMORPG Battle Royale in the last 2 years. Over 4 years, 5 did: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 5 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 16 more are announced, ×16 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 10 / 10 build.
Only 0 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $150 against a market of $1.3k. 16 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $148 (exactly $148) |
| Top 25% | $449 (exactly $449) |
| Top 5% | $9.9k (exactly $9,890) |
| Developers, 4 yr | 5 |
| Released games | 27 |
| Announced | 16 |
| Effort | 10 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: too few recent games to read.
Free games: 48%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Battle Royale
- effort 10 / 10 · low · 100-player servers and constant live ops
- MMORPG
- effort 10 / 10 · low · persistent world servers and a live economy
What it takes
- Effort
- 10 / 10 · studio only
- Systems
- Battle Royale, MMORPG
- Price point
- $4.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 4 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 8 games average 69% positive over 1,485 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 16 games are announced against 0 developers who shipped in the last year, ×16 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Battle Royale with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Immersive SimFair
- + MysteryLong shot
- + LootPoor odds
- + SportsPoor odds
- + Hero ShooterPoor odds
- + PuzzlePoor odds
- + Psychological HorrorPoor odds
- + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + 4 Player LocalPoor odds
- + RoguelitePoor odds
Comparable games
Hashiriya Drifter-Online Drift Racing Multiplayer (DRIFT/DRAG/RACING) 2020 · $80k 
惊险极速 2021 · EA · $19k 
Five Nights: No Escape 2023 · $9.9k 
Burst Planet 2021 · EA · $2.4k 
Human Madness 2021 · $2.2k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Hashiriya Drifter-Online Drift Racing Multiplayer (DRIFT/DRAG/RACING) | older | $1.99 | 1,337 68% | 40k | $80k (exactly $79,819) | Midnight Games |
| | 惊险极速 | · EA older | $6.99 | 91 97% | 2.7k | $19k (exactly $19,083) | 个人 |
| | Five Nights: No Escape | older | $9.99 | 33 66% | 990 | $9.9k (exactly $9,890) | Fun Cradle |
| | Burst Planet | · EA older | $19.99 | 4 75% | 120 | $2.4k (exactly $2,399) | KX Games |
| | Human Madness | older | $7.99 | 9 11% | 270 | $2.2k (exactly $2,157) | The One |
 | Forbidden zone | $4.99 | 3 0% | 90 | $449 (exactly $449) | Karuna | |
 | 骸亡禁决：Skeleton King | older | $1.99 | 3 0% | 90 | $179 (exactly $179) | 古德模型, goodmoxing |
 | HAPPY ZONE - Battle Royale | $0.99 | 5 80% | 150 | $148 (exactly $148) | Prtyroom | |
 | 进化岛：Jinhuadao | $16.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | 古德模型, goodmoxing | |
 | Survival Nexus | older | $3.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | BRDynamic Studios |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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