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Should I ship a Military Battle Royale?
Battle Royale + Military
Only 14 developers shipped a Military Battle Royale in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Battlefield™ 6, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 35 more are announced, ×8.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 10 / 10 build.
Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $480 against a market of $1.3k. 35 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $59 (exactly $59) |
|---|---|
| Median | $480 (exactly $480) |
| Top 25% | $1.2k (exactly $1,197) |
| Top 5% | $620M (exactly $620,339,567) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 14 |
| Released games | 66 |
| Announced | 35 |
| Effort | 10 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 785% on the market, supply 60% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 33%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Battle Royale
- effort 10 / 10 · low · 100-player servers and constant live ops
- Military
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 10 / 10 · studio only
- Systems
- Battle Royale; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Combat, FPS
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $69.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Atmospheric, First-Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $69.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 63% positive over 295,615 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $59. 9 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 35 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×8.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Battle Royale with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Immersive SimFair
- + MysteryLong shot
- + LootPoor odds
- + SportsPoor odds
- + Hero ShooterPoor odds
- + PuzzlePoor odds
- + Psychological HorrorPoor odds
- + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + 4 Player LocalPoor odds
- + RoguelitePoor odds
Comparable games
Battlefield™ 6 2025 · $620M 
Battlefield™ V 2020 · $355M 
Call of Duty®: Modern Warfare® 2023 · $78M 
Contractors Showdown : ExfilZone 2024 · $2.0M 
Ancient Wars: Sparta Definitive Edition 2022 · EA · $272k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Battlefield™ 6 | $69.99 | 295,442 63% | 8.9M | $620M (exactly $620,339,567) | Battlefield Studios | |
| | Battlefield™ V | older | $49.99 | 236,709 70% | 7.1M | $355M (exactly $354,992,487) | DICE |
| | Call of Duty®: Modern Warfare® | older | $59.99 | 43,229 79% | 1.3M | $78M (exactly $77,799,231) | Infinity Ward, Beenox, High Moon Studio… (Infinity Ward, Beenox, High Moon Studios, Raven Software) |
| | Contractors Showdown : ExfilZone | older | $19.99 | 3,353 68% | 101k | $2.0M (exactly $2,010,794) | Caveman Studio |
| | Ancient Wars: Sparta Definitive Edition | · EA older | $19.99 | 453 74% | 14k | $272k (exactly $271,664) | JOTASOFT STUDIOS |
 | Soldat 2 | · EA older | $7.99 | 386 85% | 12k | $93k (exactly $92,524) | Transhuman Design |
 | The Wraith of the Galaxy | · EA older | $11.99 | 161 81% | 4.8k | $58k (exactly $57,912) | Whale Rock Games |
 | 惊险极速 | · EA older | $6.99 | 91 97% | 2.7k | $19k (exactly $19,083) | 个人 |
 | FMTC | $7.00 | 75 78% | 2.3k | $16k (exactly $15,750) | FMTC | |
 | The Undisputables : Online Multiplayer Shooter | older | $12.99 | 22 81% | 660 | $8.6k (exactly $8,573) | Amonga99 |
 | Cat's Wars | · EA | $1.99 | 37 81% | 1.1k | $2.2k (exactly $2,209) | Antelus Games |
 | Forest | $3.99 | 10 0% | 300 | $1.2k (exactly $1,197) | Ihor Lema | |
 | Hentai USSR | $0.99 | 39 87% | 1.2k | $1.2k (exactly $1,158) | Who We Are Games | |
 | Battle Royale Manager | $4.99 | 5 60% | 150 | $748 (exactly $748) | Selecao | |
 | Tropical Hop | $15.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $480 (exactly $480) | cls studios | |
 | Forbidden zone | $4.99 | 3 0% | 90 | $449 (exactly $449) | Karuna | |
 | Paper Planes | · EA | $9.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | Creekside Interactive |
 | Battle | $0.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $59 (exactly $59) | DIG Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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