Do I ship it?

GamesBattle RoyaleBattle Royale + Female Protagonist

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Female-Led Battle Royale?

Battle Royale + Female Protagonist

No developer shipped a Female-Led Battle Royale in the last 2 years. Over 4 years, 12 did: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced, ×14 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 10 / 10 build.

Only 0 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $0 against a market of $1.3k. 14 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.0 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 14 announced, ×14 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Battle Royale + Female Protagonist
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 4 yr n = 12

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Battle Royale + Female Protagonist: Plate 1 · outcomes, 4 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $2.2k (exactly $2,153)
Top 25% $38k (exactly $38,193)
Top 5% $2.9M (exactly $2,851,574)
Developers, 4 yr 12
Released games 34
Announced 14
Effort 10 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: too few recent games to read.

Free games: 26%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Battle Royale
effort 10 / 10 · low · 100-player servers and constant live ops
Female Protagonist
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
10 / 10 · studio only
Systems
Battle Royale
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 4 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $23.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 71% positive over 245,711 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 4 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $2.2k, 1 in 4 over $38k, 1 in 20 over $2.8M.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 14 games are announced against 0 developers who shipped in the last year, ×14 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Battle Royale with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Immersive SimFair13 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  2. + MysteryLong shot12 devs · median $359 · 9 announced
  3. + LootPoor odds9 devs · median $4.3k · 23 announced
  4. + SportsPoor odds18 devs · median $3.8k · 26 announced
  5. + Hero ShooterPoor odds9 devs · median $3.6k · 29 announced
  6. + PuzzlePoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 21 announced
  7. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds12 devs · median $3.2k · 18 announced
  8. + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 30 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds34 devs · median $1.3k · 89 announced
  10. + SandboxPoor odds7 devs · median $1.2k · 20 announced
  11. + 4 Player LocalPoor odds17 devs · median $898 · 28 announced
  12. + RoguelitePoor odds14 devs · median $748 · 20 announced

All 91 pairs on the Battle Royale page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Battlefield™ V $49.99 236,709 70% 7.1M $355M (exactly $354,992,487) DICE
Deceive Inc. $19.99 4,755 84% 143k $2.9M (exactly $2,851,574) Sweet Bandits Studios
Fatal Twelve $19.99 946 92% 28k $567k (exactly $567,316) LYCORIS
GENSOU Skydrift $23.99 561 88% 17k $404k (exactly $403,752) illuCalab
TOUHOU SKY ARENA MATSURI CLIMAX $19.99 200 86% 6.0k $120k (exactly $119,940) AREAZERO
Taboos: Cracks $1.99 1,609 80% 48k $96k (exactly $96,057) DSGame
Soul Saber 2 $9.99 180 59% 5.4k $54k (exactly $53,946) Yamadaya
Eve of Souls: Static Pod · EA $2.99 468 95% 14k $42k (exactly $41,980) LighTea Fish Studio
SQUID GIRLS 18+ $6.99 198 60% 5.9k $42k (exactly $41,521) Squid Developer
NIGHT CROW $15.99 85 68% 2.6k $41k (exactly $40,774) Ge-Aivan

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.