Do I ship it?

GamesBattle RoyaleBattle Royale + Beat 'em up

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Beat 'em up Battle Royale?

Battle Royale + Beat 'em up

Only 17 developers shipped a Beat 'em up Battle Royale in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Holiday Party: Mascot Brawl, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 26 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 10 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $120 in the last 2 years and $180 over 4, against a market of $1.3k for a 10 / 10 build. 8 developers shipped in the last year and 26 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 260% on the market, 26 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Battle Royale + Beat 'em up
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $210 → $300 → $120 → $120 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Battle Royale + Beat 'em up: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $120 (exactly $120)
Top 25% $300 (exactly $300)
Top 5% $5.0k (exactly $5,036)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 69
Announced 26
Effort 10 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 260% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 33%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Battle Royale
effort 10 / 10 · low · 100-player servers and constant live ops
Beat 'em up
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
10 / 10 · studio only
Systems
Battle Royale, Beat 'em up; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, PvP, 3D Fighter
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $13.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Funny, Third Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $13.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 62 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $120, 1 in 4 over $300, 1 in 20 over $5.0k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 26 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Battle Royale with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Immersive SimFair13 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  2. + MysteryLong shot12 devs · median $359 · 9 announced
  3. + LootPoor odds9 devs · median $4.3k · 23 announced
  4. + SportsPoor odds18 devs · median $3.8k · 26 announced
  5. + Hero ShooterPoor odds9 devs · median $3.6k · 29 announced
  6. + PuzzlePoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 21 announced
  7. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds12 devs · median $3.2k · 18 announced
  8. + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 30 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds34 devs · median $1.3k · 89 announced
  10. + SandboxPoor odds7 devs · median $1.2k · 20 announced
  11. + 4 Player LocalPoor odds17 devs · median $898 · 28 announced
  12. + RoguelitePoor odds14 devs · median $748 · 20 announced

All 91 pairs on the Battle Royale page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Mad Streets older $14.99 200 85% 6.0k $90k (exactly $89,940) Craftshop Arts Inc.
River City Melee : Battle Royal Special older $19.99 89 57% 2.7k $53k (exactly $53,373) Arc System Works
universe treasure older $13.99 91 58% 2.7k $38k (exactly $38,193) モンスター研
Bounty Battle older $19.99 39 20% 1.2k $23k (exactly $23,388) Dark Screen Games
OutRage: Fight Fest older $9.99 62 77% 1.9k $19k (exactly $18,581) Hardball Games Ltd
Food Chain · EA older $7.99 69 59% 2.1k $17k (exactly $16,539) Kozhakov
Fisti-Fluffs older $19.99 22 63% 660 $13k (exactly $13,193) Playfellow Studio
Too Many Weapons older $9.99 32 71% 960 $9.6k (exactly $9,590) Studio HK
Holiday Party: Mascot Brawl $13.99 12 100% 360 $5.0k (exactly $5,036) NAMSON Digital
Smokyflex older $12.99 11 90% 330 $4.3k (exactly $4,287) Gamesforgames
Hentai USSR $0.99 39 87% 1.2k $1.2k (exactly $1,158) Who We Are Games
Bumper Brawlers $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Gyxos
OutBreak: The Last Survivor $9.99 2 0% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Briant Entertainment
Neon Knights $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) VHornet Games
Battle Mayhem $2.99 2 100% 60 $179 (exactly $179) Sam Farnsley
100 Guys 1 Stick $4.99 1 0% 30 $150 (exactly $150) machinetherapist
Suds · EA $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) Honeybell Games
100 Men vs 1 Gorilla $3.99 1 0% 30 $120 (exactly $120) Kekdot
Riverside Gals / 大乱闘リバーサイドギャルズ $1.99 1 100% 30 $60 (exactly $60) 黒の御者団

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.