Do I ship it?

GamesIncrementalIncremental + Animals

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Animal Incremental game?

Incremental + Animals

Of 28 developers who shipped an Animal Incremental game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 92 more are announced, ×3.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.3k, ×4.8 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $44k, ×93 the market median. Revenue is down 50% on the market; 92 games are announced against 26 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 50% on the market, 92 announced, ×3.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Incremental + Animals
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 28
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $28k → $2.1k (still earning) → $449 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Incremental + Animals: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 28
Bottom 30% $180 (exactly $180)
Median $2.3k (exactly $2,269)
Top 25% $8.0k (exactly $7,969)
Top 5% $44k (exactly $44,386)
Developers, 2 yr 28
Released games 42
Announced 92
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 765% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Incremental
effort 1 / 10 · high · formulas and upgrade tables
Animals
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Incremental; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Collectathon, Creature Collector
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $6.99 or above
Art
7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Relaxing, 2D, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $6.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 2,394 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $2.3k, 1 in 4 over $7.9k, 1 in 20 over $44k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 92 games are announced against 26 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Incremental with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds15 devs · median $11k · 12 announced
  2. + OtomeStrong odds12 devs · median $7.0k · 11 announced
  3. + Martial ArtsFair13 devs · median $6.1k · 15 announced
  4. + FarmingFair21 devs · median $5.9k · 23 announced
  5. + Dynamic NarrationFair19 devs · median $4.0k · 14 announced
  6. + MiningFair141 devs · median $3.9k · 207 announced
  7. + Souls-likeFair9 devs · median $3.9k · 10 announced
  8. + Arena ShooterFair15 devs · median $3.5k · 20 announced
  9. + Dating SimFair140 devs · median $3.1k · 136 announced
  10. + UndergroundFair27 devs · median $3.0k · 35 announced
  11. + LootFair145 devs · median $2.9k · 236 announced
  12. + SupernaturalFair33 devs · median $2.4k · 35 announced

All 188 pairs on the Incremental page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Chillquarium older $5.99 7,780 92% 233k $1.4M (exactly $1,398,066) Ben Reber
Sort Them Ducks $5.99 1,461 92% 44k $263k (exactly $262,542) Mr.Duck
Plantera 2: Golden Acorn older $4.99 1,191 93% 36k $178k (exactly $178,293) VaragtP
Moose Miners older $9.99 518 69% 16k $155k (exactly $155,245) Lingon Studios
Ever Seen A Cat? 3 older $4.99 387 96% 12k $58k (exactly $57,934) EverCats
War Tortoise older $12.99 137 79% 4.1k $53k (exactly $53,389) Foursaken Media
Meow Palace: Forbidden City · EA $5.99 247 90% 7.4k $44k (exactly $44,386) 宫喵家族
Mewseum: Masterpieces $6.99 133 98% 4.0k $28k (exactly $27,890) Climbing Goat Games
Little Aviary $3.99 231 86% 6.9k $28k (exactly $27,651) atomco
Push Push $4.99 111 97% 3.3k $17k (exactly $16,617) 1ceAgain
Heritage $9.99 44 72% 1.3k $13k (exactly $13,187) Big Three Games
Cozy Mining $6.99 38 76% 1.1k $8.0k (exactly $7,969) tatsumaki games
Dino Market $4.99 51 94% 1.5k $7.6k (exactly $7,635) Fuz Games
Plump! Dumb Frog Pond $7.99 30 96% 900 $7.2k (exactly $7,191) FHNBHJ
Moose Diver $4.99 48 83% 1.4k $7.2k (exactly $7,186) Lingon Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.