Games › Real-Time with Pause › Real-Time with Pause + Alternate History
Should I ship an Alternate-History Real-Time with Pause game?
Real-Time with Pause + Alternate History
Only 8 developers shipped an Alternate-History Real-Time with Pause game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Terra Invicta, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.
Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $22k against a market of $1.5k. 13 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $7.6k (exactly $7,555) |
|---|---|
| Median | $22k (exactly $22,485) |
| Top 25% | $274k (exactly $273,867) |
| Top 5% | $11M (exactly $10,865,683) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 8 |
| Released games | 29 |
| Announced | 13 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $13.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 890% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Real-Time with Pause
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
- Alternate History
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Real-Time with Pause
- Price point
- $13.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $49.99 or above; the middle game at $17.99.
The top 10 games average 86% positive over 471,868 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $7.6k. 13 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Real-Time with Pause with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + CombatStrong odds
- + ActionFair
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + AdventurePoor odds
- + City BuilderPoor odds
- + ExplorationPoor odds
- + Choices MatterPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
- + MilitaryPoor odds
- + MedievalPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
- + SurvivalPoor odds
Comparable games
Hearts of Iron IV 2016 · $412M 
Europa Universalis IV 2013 · $141M 
Victoria 3 2022 · $62M 
Imperator: Rome 2019 · $23M 
Terra Invicta 2026 · $11M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Hearts of Iron IV | older | $49.99 | 274,901 90% | 8.2M | $412M (exactly $412,269,030) | Paradox Development Studio |
| | Europa Universalis IV | older | $49.99 | 94,114 87% | 2.8M | $141M (exactly $141,142,766) | Paradox Development Studio, Paradox Tin… (Paradox Development Studio, Paradox Tinto) |
| | Victoria 3 | older | $49.99 | 41,251 71% | 1.2M | $62M (exactly $61,864,125) | Paradox Development Studio |
| | Imperator: Rome | older | $39.99 | 19,492 65% | 585k | $23M (exactly $23,384,552) | Paradox Development Studio |
| | Terra Invicta | $39.99 | 9,057 80% | 272k | $11M (exactly $10,865,683) | Pavonis Interactive | |
 | Victoria II | older | $19.99 | 16,504 92% | 495k | $9.9M (exactly $9,897,449) | Paradox Development Studio |
 | NEBULOUS: Fleet Command | · EA older | $29.99 | 4,074 81% | 122k | $3.7M (exactly $3,665,378) | Eridanus Industries |
 | Rebel Inc: Escalation | older | $14.99 | 6,928 82% | 208k | $3.1M (exactly $3,115,522) | Ndemic Creations |
 | Hearts of Iron III | older | $9.99 | 4,962 76% | 149k | $1.5M (exactly $1,487,111) | Paradox Development Studio |
 | Victory At Sea Pacific | older | $39.99 | 585 61% | 18k | $702k (exactly $701,824) | Evil Twin Artworks |
 | Solar Nations 2 | · EA | $14.99 | 609 85% | 18k | $274k (exactly $273,867) | Flomgus Games |
 | States of Power | $11.99 | 344 88% | 10k | $124k (exactly $123,737) | Sarunas | |
 | Geo Mythica | $14.99 | 50 100% | 1.5k | $22k (exactly $22,485) | Guin Entertainment, LLC | |
 | NovaMundi | $12.99 | 38 81% | 1.1k | $15k (exactly $14,809) | Slashware Interactive | |
 | Samurai Conqueror | $13.99 | 18 100% | 540 | $7.6k (exactly $7,555) | Miura Production | |
 | RUPTURR | · EA | $5.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $359 (exactly $359) | Aikon Interactive |
 | Balkan Bloodbath | $9.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | Michael Richard Lannon |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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