Do I ship it?

GamesInvestigationInvestigation + Aliens

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Alien Investigation game?

Investigation + Aliens

Of 34 developers who shipped an Alien Investigation game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 63 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.2k, ×4.7 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $540; 1 in 20 cleared $430k, ×917 the market median. Revenue is up 20% on the market; 63 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 20% on the market, 63 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Investigation + Aliens
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 34
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $899 → $1.3k → $539 → $1.8k → $3.4k → $599 → $4.8k (still earning) → $13k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Investigation + Aliens: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 34
Bottom 30% $538 (exactly $538)
Median $2.2k (exactly $2,246)
Top 25% $14k (exactly $13,903)
Top 5% $435k (exactly $435,464)
Developers, 2 yr 34
Released games 87
Announced 63
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.50

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 20% on the market, supply 140% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Investigation
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Aliens
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Investigation; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Puzzle, Exploration
Price point
$9.50 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Atmospheric, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $9.50.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 12,450 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $540, median $2.2k, 1 in 4 over $13k, 1 in 20 over $430k.

3 in 10 developers made under $540. 7 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 63 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Investigation with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Escape RoomFair61 devs · median $2.1k · 50 announced
  2. + IdlerFair15 devs · median $898 · 16 announced
  3. + TriviaLong shot8 devs · median $215 · 9 announced
  4. + LGBTQ+Poor odds42 devs · median $39k · 70 announced
  5. + JRPGPoor odds16 devs · median $12k · 27 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds64 devs · median $9.0k · 121 announced
  7. + RomancePoor odds62 devs · median $9.0k · 101 announced
  8. + GothicPoor odds26 devs · median $8.1k · 54 announced
  9. + LovecraftianPoor odds56 devs · median $7.2k · 104 announced
  10. + Dating SimPoor odds37 devs · median $6.6k · 50 announced
  11. + Card GamePoor odds14 devs · median $6.6k · 34 announced
  12. + SciencePoor odds21 devs · median $5.9k · 36 announced

All 134 pairs on the Investigation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Species: Unknown · EA $9.99 9,437 94% 283k $2.8M (exactly $2,828,269) WanadevStudio
STASIS: BONE TOTEM older $19.99 2,025 93% 61k $1.2M (exactly $1,214,392) THE BROTHERHOOD
The Message from Deep Space $9.99 1,453 96% 44k $435k (exactly $435,464) Applesinmypants
Machinika: Museum older $7.99 1,184 91% 36k $284k (exactly $283,805) Littlefield Studio
Elroy and the Aliens $17.99 463 97% 14k $250k (exactly $249,881) Motiviti
Machinika: Atlas $11.99 574 76% 17k $206k (exactly $206,468) Littlefield Studio
Quarantine Circular older $5.99 432 88% 13k $78k (exactly $77,630) Bithell Games
Pyramids and Aliens: Escape Room $12.99 191 81% 5.7k $74k (exactly $74,433) mc2games
Expedition Zero older $19.99 90 44% 2.7k $54k (exactly $53,973) Enigmatic Machines
Cosmic Fear $19.99 84 80% 2.5k $50k (exactly $50,375) Alessandro Guzzo
Macabre · EA $9.99 82 53% 2.5k $25k (exactly $24,575) Weforge Studio
The Echo Paradox $8.99 63 77% 1.9k $17k (exactly $16,991) Virtuzilla
Who Are You!? $7.99 58 68% 1.7k $14k (exactly $13,903) Haunting Humans Studio
Mimicry! $9.99 45 97% 1.4k $13k (exactly $13,486) Wayward Skies Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.