Do I ship it?

GamesIncrementalIncremental + Aliens

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Alien Incremental game?

Incremental + Aliens

Of 41 developers who shipped an Alien Incremental game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 55 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $960, ×2.0 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $450. Revenue is up 95% on the market; 55 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 95% on the market, 55 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Incremental + Aliens
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 41
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $269 → $955 → $599 → $1.6k → $1.0k → $1.2k (still earning) → $1.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Incremental + Aliens: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 41
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $958 (exactly $958)
Top 25% $4.6k (exactly $4,613)
Top 5% $88k (exactly $88,072)
Developers, 2 yr 41
Released games 89
Announced 55
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.00

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 95% on the market, supply 140% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Incremental
effort 1 / 10 · high · formulas and upgrade tables
Aliens
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Incremental; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Idler, Point & Click
Price point
$5.00 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $5.00.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 1,728 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $960, 1 in 4 over $4.6k, 1 in 20 over $88k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 8 in 10 of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 55 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Incremental with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds15 devs · median $11k · 12 announced
  2. + OtomeStrong odds12 devs · median $7.0k · 11 announced
  3. + Martial ArtsFair13 devs · median $6.1k · 15 announced
  4. + FarmingFair21 devs · median $5.9k · 23 announced
  5. + Dynamic NarrationFair19 devs · median $4.0k · 14 announced
  6. + MiningFair141 devs · median $3.9k · 207 announced
  7. + Souls-likeFair9 devs · median $3.9k · 10 announced
  8. + Arena ShooterFair15 devs · median $3.5k · 20 announced
  9. + Dating SimFair140 devs · median $3.1k · 136 announced
  10. + UndergroundFair27 devs · median $3.0k · 35 announced
  11. + LootFair145 devs · median $2.9k · 236 announced
  12. + SupernaturalFair33 devs · median $2.4k · 35 announced

All 188 pairs on the Incremental page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Insaniquarium Deluxe older $4.99 6,398 96% 192k $958k (exactly $957,781) PopCap Games, Inc.
Polda 7 older $17.99 496 92% 15k $268k (exactly $267,691) Zima software
Void Miner – Incremental Asteroids Roguelite $5.99 698 83% 21k $125k (exactly $125,431) RyanJakob
Earth Must Die $15.99 238 85% 7.1k $114k (exactly $114,169) Size Five Games
Mosaic of the Strange $12.99 226 92% 6.8k $88k (exactly $88,072) Mark Ffrench
Lazy Galaxy 2 older $7.99 167 77% 5.0k $40k (exactly $40,030) Coldwild Games
Solo Breeding $9.99 132 53% 4.0k $40k (exactly $39,560) Whiteleaf Studio
Sex Universe [18+] older $9.99 131 65% 3.9k $39k (exactly $39,261) Octo Games
We Need More Humans! $6.99 142 72% 4.3k $30k (exactly $29,777) Seafront Games
Femdemic - An Idle World Feminization Game older $14.99 64 53% 1.9k $29k (exactly $28,781) Rel.Pink
翎之歌 $6.99 83 89% 2.5k $17k (exactly $17,405) YuKi制作组, 崩溃猛犸
Sporbs $4.99 92 78% 2.8k $14k (exactly $13,772) Who Nose Studios
Love at The Milky Way Diner · EA $13.99 25 100% 750 $10k (exactly $10,492) Lucky Kim, Emanuelle Heikens
Terraforming Titans $5.00 58 94% 1.7k $8.7k (exactly $8,700) terraforming.titans
IDLE: Intergalactic Defense League Exterminators $5.99 34 64% 1.0k $6.1k (exactly $6,110) PolyB Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.