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Should I ship an Agriculture RTS?
RTS + Agriculture
Only 9 developers shipped an Agriculture RTS in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Farthest Frontier, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $7.8k, ×5.2 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $25M, ×17129 the market median. Revenue is down 50% on the market; 16 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $358 (exactly $358) |
|---|---|
| Median | $7.8k (exactly $7,796) |
| Top 25% | $36k (exactly $35,986) |
| Top 5% | $26M (exactly $25,658,867) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 9 |
| Released games | 29 |
| Announced | 16 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 28%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- RTS
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
- Agriculture
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- RTS, Agriculture
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $34.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 82% positive over 29,337 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $360. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 16 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
RTS with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RomeFair
- + Outbreak SimFair
- + HorrorFair
- + NavalFair
- + TabletopFair
- + SportsLong shot
- + PuzzleLong shot
- + World War IIPoor odds
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + Colony SimPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
Comparable games
Farthest Frontier 2025 · $26M 
Cartel Tycoon 2022 · $2.5M 
Grand Ages: Medieval 2015 · $939k 
Colonize 2026 · $58k 
My Drug Cartel 2025 · EA · $36k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Farthest Frontier | $34.99 | 24,444 86% | 733k | $26M (exactly $25,658,867) | Crate Entertainment | |
| | Cartel Tycoon | older | $29.99 | 2,822 75% | 85k | $2.5M (exactly $2,538,953) | Moon Moose |
| | Grand Ages: Medieval | older | $19.99 | 1,565 47% | 47k | $939k (exactly $938,530) | Gaming Minds Studios |
| | Colonize | $9.99 | 192 39% | 5.8k | $58k (exactly $57,542) | Rembrosoft | |
| | My Drug Cartel | · EA | $24.99 | 48 50% | 1.4k | $36k (exactly $35,986) | Gigicom |
 | Pocket Harvest | older | $8.99 | 106 86% | 3.2k | $29k (exactly $28,588) | Kairosoft Co.,Ltd |
 | Shrot | older | $6.99 | 109 89% | 3.3k | $23k (exactly $22,857) | Spytihněv |
 | Legacy of Sin: Ill-Boding | $12.99 | 23 69% | 690 | $9.0k (exactly $8,963) | Absolute Power Game Studio | |
 | Exile | $19.99 | 13 61% | 390 | $7.8k (exactly $7,796) | JD7 Games | |
 | GILTSTEADER - Tower Defense | older | $5.99 | 15 66% | 450 | $2.7k (exactly $2,696) | Lessermore |
 | VeilWood | $9.99 | 8 87% | 240 | $2.4k (exactly $2,398) | Chaos Cabin | |
 | Harvest Loop | $1.99 | 6 83% | 180 | $358 (exactly $358) | FetterSky Studio | |
 | 保卫粮食 Grain Defense | $3.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $120 (exactly $120) | 放马过去 | |
 | Peasant Samurai ～ 百姓ノ持チタル国 | $7.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | petitmonte |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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