Do I ship it?

Games › PvE › PvE + Agriculture

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a PvE Agriculture game?

PvE + Agriculture

Of 27 developers who shipped a PvE Agriculture game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 59 more are announced, ×3.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $270k, ×441 the market median. Revenue is down 35% on the market; 59 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 35% on the market, 59 announced, ×3.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
PvE + Agriculture
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 27
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.9k → $1.0k → $239 → $2.4k → $479 → $30k (still earning) → $299 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for PvE + Agriculture: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 27
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $897 (exactly $897)
Top 25% $2.7k (exactly $2,652)
Top 5% $277k (exactly $276,767)
Developers, 2 yr 27
Released games 57
Announced 59
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

PvE
effort 6 / 10 · low · online co-op against AI still needs the whole netcode stack
Agriculture
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
PvE, Agriculture; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Crafting, Resource Management
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 52% positive over 12,947 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $900, 1 in 4 over $2.6k, 1 in 20 over $270k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 9 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 59 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

PvE with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair17 devs · median $2.4k · 23 announced
  2. + IdlerFair161 devs · median $1.0k · 229 announced
  3. + MinigamesFair9 devs · median $899 · 14 announced
  4. + TypingFair23 devs · median $719 · 27 announced
  5. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds44 devs · median $163k · 97 announced
  6. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds50 devs · median $85k · 120 announced
  7. + HeistPoor odds18 devs · median $30k · 50 announced
  8. + MMORPGPoor odds34 devs · median $25k · 248 announced
  9. + Real-TimePoor odds10 devs · median $20k · 24 announced
  10. + NavalPoor odds21 devs · median $11k · 59 announced
  11. + SpaceshipsPoor odds16 devs · median $6.3k · 20 announced
  12. + MarsPoor odds10 devs · median $6.3k · 13 announced

All 243 pairs on the PvE page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Rival Stars Horse Racing: Desktop Edition 2020 · $4.5M The Quinfall 2026 · $3.6M CryoFall 2021 · $2.9M Atomicrops 2020 · $2.3M Never Grave: The Witch and The Curse 2026 · $277k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Rival Stars Horse Racing: Desktop Edition older $29.99 5,032 91% 151k $4.5M (exactly $4,527,290) PikPok
The Quinfall $9.99 12,073 50% 362k $3.6M (exactly $3,618,278) Vawraek Technology Inc.
CryoFall older $19.99 4,905 78% 147k $2.9M (exactly $2,941,528) AtomicTorch Studio
Atomicrops older $14.99 5,134 93% 154k $2.3M (exactly $2,308,760) Bird Bath Games
Never Grave: The Witch and The Curse $16.99 543 72% 16k $277k (exactly $276,767) Frontside 180
Korea Dynasty (조선메타실록) · EA older $23.99 267 72% 8.0k $192k (exactly $192,160) Happy Daram Inc.
Cascadia $14.99 210 98% 6.3k $94k (exactly $94,437) Dire Wolf
Santhai older $12.99 137 89% 4.1k $53k (exactly $53,389) Hardworker Studio, Rachan Neamprasert
Hole io older $4.99 217 59% 6.5k $32k (exactly $32,485) VOODOO
Town of Zoz $19.99 50 70% 1.5k $30k (exactly $29,985) Studio Pixanoh
Constructed · EA $14.99 8 75% 240 $3.6k (exactly $3,598) Gaming Project
Apoikia · EA $24.99 4 50% 120 $3.0k (exactly $2,999) Charlie
My First Craft Survival $5.20 17 70% 510 $2.7k (exactly $2,652) kuriemeiku
VeilWood $9.99 8 87% 240 $2.4k (exactly $2,398) Chaos Cabin
Storm Burst: Tornado Alley $3.99 20 65% 600 $2.4k (exactly $2,394) Breaking Dimensions, Polygon Dust Enter… (Breaking Dimensions, Polygon Dust Entertainment Ltd.)
Everglen $4.99 14 92% 420 $2.1k (exactly $2,096) Opal

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.