Games › Real-Time › Real-Time + Adventure
Should I ship an Adventure Real-Time game?
Real-Time + Adventure
Only 14 developers shipped an Adventure Real-Time game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Microsoft Flight Simulator (2020) 40th Anniversary Edition, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 11 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $3.2k, ×5.2 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.8k; 1 in 20 cleared $120M, ×200813 the market median. Revenue is up 15% on the market; 11 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $1.8k (exactly $1,796) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.2k (exactly $3,236) |
| Top 25% | $37k (exactly $36,674) |
| Top 5% | $126M (exactly $126,110,378) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 14 |
| Released games | 100 |
| Announced | 11 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $8.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 15% on the market, supply 45% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Real-Time, Adventure; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy
- Price point
- $8.99 typical · top 25% priced $59.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $59.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.
The top 10 games average 78% positive over 70,645 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.8k. 8 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 11 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Real-Time with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Character CustomizationStrong odds
- + RogueliteFair
- + BuildingPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
- + WarPoor odds
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
- + WargamePoor odds
- + PhysicsPoor odds
- + Tower DefensePoor odds
- + Action RTSPoor odds
- + StrategyPoor odds
- + RTSPoor odds
Comparable games
Age of Empires II: Definitive Edition 2019 · $167M 
Microsoft Flight Simulator (2020) 40th Anniversary Edition 2026 · $126M 
Age of Empires II (Retired) 2013 · $51M 
Company of Heroes 2 2013 · $41M 
Age of Mythology: Extended Edition 2014 · $29M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Age of Empires II: Definitive Edition | older | $34.99 | 158,931 94% | 4.8M | $167M (exactly $166,829,871) | World's Edge, Forgotten Empires, Captur… (World's Edge, Forgotten Empires, CaptureAge, Tantalus Media, Wicked Witch, Feral Interactive) |
| | Microsoft Flight Simulator (2020) 40th Anniversary Edition | $59.99 | 70,073 78% | 2.1M | $126M (exactly $126,110,378) | Asobo Studio | |
| | Age of Empires II (Retired) | older | $19.99 | 84,818 95% | 2.5M | $51M (exactly $50,865,355) | Skybox Labs, Hidden Path Entertainment,… (Skybox Labs, Hidden Path Entertainment, Ensemble Studios, Forgotten Empires) |
| | Company of Heroes 2 | older | $19.99 | 68,909 80% | 2.1M | $41M (exactly $41,324,727) | Relic Entertainment, Feral Interactive… (Relic Entertainment, Feral Interactive (Mac), Feral Interactive (Linux)) |
| | Age of Mythology: Extended Edition | older | $29.99 | 31,869 93% | 956k | $29M (exactly $28,672,539) | SkyBox Labs, Ensemble Studios, Forgotte… (SkyBox Labs, Ensemble Studios, Forgotten Empires) |
 | Wargame: Red Dragon | older | $29.99 | 15,758 88% | 473k | $14M (exactly $14,177,473) | Eugen Systems |
 | Homeworld: Deserts of Kharak | older | $49.99 | 7,800 79% | 234k | $12M (exactly $11,697,660) | Blackbird Interactive |
 | Curse of the Dead Gods | older | $19.99 | 7,807 84% | 234k | $4.7M (exactly $4,681,858) | Passtech Games |
 | Supreme Commander: Forged Alliance | older | $12.99 | 9,919 96% | 298k | $3.9M (exactly $3,865,434) | Gas Powered Games |
 | Legend of Grimrock | older | $14.99 | 4,844 93% | 145k | $2.2M (exactly $2,178,347) | Almost Human Games |
 | Sin and Love | $14.99 | 232 65% | 7.0k | $104k (exactly $104,330) | XingCaiStudio | |
 | Touch Type Tale - Strategic Typing | $19.99 | 107 89% | 3.2k | $64k (exactly $64,168) | Pumpernickel Studio | |
 | 60 Minutes to Extinction: Escape Room | $7.99 | 153 82% | 4.6k | $37k (exactly $36,674) | mc2games | |
 | Yamizome Liberator | $34.95 | 9 66% | 270 | $9.4k (exactly $9,436) | Escu:de | |
 | Fall Of The MS Estonia | $9.99 | 22 72% | 660 | $6.6k (exactly $6,593) | Interactive Gaming Studios | |
 | Tactics of World War I | $8.99 | 12 58% | 360 | $3.2k (exactly $3,236) | Headless Horseman Games | |
 | Millennium Conflict | $3.99 | 17 100% | 510 | $2.0k (exactly $2,035) | Badim | |
 | TechnoSorcery | $7.99 | 8 100% | 240 | $1.9k (exactly $1,918) | The Ancient Arcanum | |
 | Marble Quest | · EA | $4.99 | 12 100% | 360 | $1.8k (exactly $1,796) | Wolf Developer, ReelablePenny14 |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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