Do I ship it?

Games › Extraction Shooter › Extraction Shooter + Adventure

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Adventure Extraction Shooter?

Extraction Shooter + Adventure

Of 31 developers who shipped an Adventure Extraction Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 62 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $31k, ×21 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $9.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $8.6M, ×5756 the market median. Revenue is up 365% on the market; 62 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 21.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 365% on the market, 62 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Extraction Shooter + Adventure
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 31
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $19k → $3.6k → $65k (still earning) → $31k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Extraction Shooter + Adventure: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 31
Bottom 30% $9.1k (exactly $9,114)
Median $31k (exactly $31,468)
Top 25% $219k (exactly $219,004)
Top 5% $8.6M (exactly $8,622,487)
Developers, 2 yr 31
Released games 39
Announced 62
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $11.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 365% on the market, supply 60% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Extraction Shooter
effort 8 / 10 · low · online PvPvE sessions with persistent stash servers
Adventure
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Extraction Shooter, Adventure; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Survival, Exploration
Price point
$11.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 112,545 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $9.2k, median $31k, 1 in 4 over $210k, 1 in 20 over $8.6M.

3 in 10 developers made under $9.2k. 5 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 62 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Extraction Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + PvPPoor odds18 devs · median $1.1M · 48 announced
  2. + Online Co-OpPoor odds29 devs · median $443k · 70 announced
  3. + FPSPoor odds29 devs · median $219k · 57 announced
  4. + PvEPoor odds44 devs · median $163k · 97 announced
  5. + Open WorldPoor odds19 devs · median $101k · 37 announced
  6. + Sci-fiPoor odds26 devs · median $82k · 43 announced
  7. + Co-opPoor odds25 devs · median $82k · 49 announced
  8. + ExplorationPoor odds23 devs · median $82k · 61 announced
  9. + LootPoor odds26 devs · median $81k · 60 announced
  10. + Looter ShooterPoor odds31 devs · median $71k · 73 announced
  11. + ShooterPoor odds51 devs · median $65k · 105 announced
  12. + SurvivalPoor odds41 devs · median $65k · 79 announced

All 16 pairs on the Extraction Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Escape From Duckov 2025 · $45M ZERO Sievert 2024 · $8.6M Wildgate 2025 · $4.5M The Mound: Omen of Cthulhu 2026 · $2.8M R.I.P. - Reincarnation Insurance Program 2026 · $1.2M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Escape From Duckov $17.99 83,826 85% 2.5M $45M (exactly $45,240,892) Team Soda
ZERO Sievert $19.99 14,378 84% 431k $8.6M (exactly $8,622,487) CABO Studio
Wildgate $29.99 5,032 77% 151k $4.5M (exactly $4,527,290) Moonshot Games
The Mound: Omen of Cthulhu $29.99 3,107 69% 93k $2.8M (exactly $2,795,368) ACE Team
R.I.P. - Reincarnation Insurance Program $14.99 2,727 76% 82k $1.2M (exactly $1,226,332) WarmCore Studio
CONVRGENCE · EA older $24.99 1,562 88% 47k $1.2M (exactly $1,171,031) Monkey-With-a-Bomb
Lost Rift · EA $24.99 1,465 67% 44k $1.1M (exactly $1,098,310) People Can Fly
STARSEEKER: Astroneer Expeditions · EA $29.99 800 56% 24k $720k (exactly $719,760) System Era Softworks
Hell is Others older $14.99 991 73% 30k $446k (exactly $445,653) Strelka Games, Yonder
Night Raider older $5.99 1,908 85% 57k $343k (exactly $342,868) TSUKUYOMIC
Nuclear Epoch $14.99 487 78% 15k $219k (exactly $219,004) Cat Play Studio
Warlords Battleground: Extraction $11.99 525 84% 16k $189k (exactly $188,842) 绝汪
Blood Running $16.99 198 68% 5.9k $101k (exactly $100,921) Dead Unicorn

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.