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Should I ship an Adventure Battle Royale?
Battle Royale + Adventure
Of 50 developers who shipped an Adventure Battle Royale in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 116 more are announced, ×4.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 10 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $240 in the last 2 years and $240 over 4, against a market of $1.3k for a 10 / 10 build. 25 developers shipped in the last year and 116 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $239 (exactly $239) |
| Top 25% | $4.2k (exactly $4,196) |
| Top 5% | $254k (exactly $253,603) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 50 |
| Released games | 277 |
| Announced | 116 |
| Effort | 10 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 30% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 24%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Battle Royale
- effort 10 / 10 · low · 100-player servers and constant live ops
- Adventure
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 10 / 10 · studio only
- Systems
- Battle Royale, Adventure; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Action, Choose Your Own Adventure
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 77% positive over 8,103 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 55 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 116 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Battle Royale with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Immersive SimFair
- + MysteryLong shot
- + LootPoor odds
- + SportsPoor odds
- + Hero ShooterPoor odds
- + PuzzlePoor odds
- + Psychological HorrorPoor odds
- + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + 4 Player LocalPoor odds
- + RoguelitePoor odds
Comparable games
Wildgate 2025 · $4.5M 
武侠乂 The Swordsmen X 2020 · $1.8M 
Fatal Twelve 2018 · $567k 
Last Remains 2025 · EA · $548k 
DEPLOYMENT 2018 · $428k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Wildgate | $29.99 | 5,032 77% | 151k | $4.5M (exactly $4,527,290) | Moonshot Games | |
| | 武侠乂 The Swordsmen X | older | $24.99 | 2,415 46% | 72k | $1.8M (exactly $1,810,526) | 上海杜昂网络科技有限公司 |
| | Fatal Twelve | older | $19.99 | 946 92% | 28k | $567k (exactly $567,316) | LYCORIS |
| | Last Remains | · EA | $19.99 | 914 51% | 27k | $548k (exactly $548,126) | Earn Alliance |
| | DEPLOYMENT | older | $14.99 | 951 85% | 29k | $428k (exactly $427,665) | Whale Rock Games |
 | Bloodshore | older | $14.99 | 826 68% | 25k | $371k (exactly $371,452) | Wales Interactive, Good Gate Media, Way… (Wales Interactive, Good Gate Media, Wayout Pictures, Posterity Entertainment) |
 | RUSSIA BATTLEGROUNDS | older | $2.99 | 3,788 77% | 114k | $340k (exactly $339,784) | Agafonoff |
 | Evil School | $7.99 | 1,058 92% | 32k | $254k (exactly $253,603) | CineGame Interactive | |
 | Virtual Battlegrounds | · EA older | $19.99 | 401 66% | 12k | $240k (exactly $240,480) | CyberDream |
 | SUPER BOMBERMAN R 2 | older | $49.99 | 149 53% | 4.5k | $223k (exactly $223,455) | KONAMI |
 | The Joker's Game | $11.99 | 486 82% | 15k | $175k (exactly $174,814) | All In Game Co., Limited | |
 | Turnfall | $39.99 | 96 95% | 2.9k | $115k (exactly $115,171) | Koleapin Studio | |
 | Iron Core: Mech Survivor | $6.99 | 352 73% | 11k | $74k (exactly $73,814) | Soda Game Studio | |
 | Karigurashi Ren'ai: Living on Borrowed Love | $29.99 | 76 92% | 2.3k | $68k (exactly $68,377) | ASa Project | |
 | Damsels in Distress | $8.99 | 36 83% | 1.1k | $9.7k (exactly $9,709) | Anime Mania | |
 | The Great Axe | $19.99 | 13 84% | 390 | $7.8k (exactly $7,796) | Gamesforgames | |
 | Only Out | $4.99 | 40 95% | 1.2k | $6.0k (exactly $5,988) | Shark Studio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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