Do I ship it?

GamesBattle RoyaleBattle Royale + Action RTS

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Action RTS Battle Royale?

Battle Royale + Action RTS

Only 5 developers shipped an Action RTS Battle Royale in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Just Move:Clean City Messy Battle, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 12 more are announced, ×6.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 10 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $240 against a market of $1.3k. 12 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 12 announced, ×6.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Battle Royale + Action RTS
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 5

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Battle Royale + Action RTS: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 5
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $239 (exactly $239)
Top 25% $748 (exactly $748)
Top 5% $5.3k (exactly $5,277)
Developers, 2 yr 5
Released games 25
Announced 12
Effort 10 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Battle Royale
effort 10 / 10 · low · 100-player servers and constant live ops
Action RTS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
10 / 10 · studio only
Systems
Battle Royale, Action RTS
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 10 games average 73% positive over 1,380 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $240, 1 in 4 over $740, 1 in 20 over $5.2k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 12 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Battle Royale with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Immersive SimFair13 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  2. + MysteryLong shot12 devs · median $359 · 9 announced
  3. + LootPoor odds9 devs · median $4.3k · 23 announced
  4. + SportsPoor odds18 devs · median $3.8k · 26 announced
  5. + Hero ShooterPoor odds9 devs · median $3.6k · 29 announced
  6. + PuzzlePoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 21 announced
  7. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds12 devs · median $3.2k · 18 announced
  8. + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 30 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds34 devs · median $1.3k · 89 announced
  10. + SandboxPoor odds7 devs · median $1.2k · 20 announced
  11. + 4 Player LocalPoor odds17 devs · median $898 · 28 announced
  12. + RoguelitePoor odds14 devs · median $748 · 20 announced

All 91 pairs on the Battle Royale page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Ancient Wars: Sparta Definitive Edition · EA older $19.99 453 74% 14k $272k (exactly $271,664) JOTASOFT STUDIOS
WARCANA older $16.99 443 62% 13k $226k (exactly $225,797) 1000 Orks
Multiwinia older $11.99 409 82% 12k $147k (exactly $147,117) Introversion Software
CUBE ROYALE · EA older $9.99 47 93% 1.4k $14k (exactly $14,086) Creature Factory
Just Move:Clean City Messy Battle $15.99 11 45% 330 $5.3k (exactly $5,277) daminggede
War Job $4.99 5 80% 150 $748 (exactly $748) Stupid games
1v1 Deathmatch older $4.99 5 80% 150 $748 (exactly $748) Matthew Lalande
Snake Effect older $9.99 2 50% 60 $599 (exactly $599) oooyqx
No Kings Tiny Defenders $3.99 2 100% 60 $239 (exactly $239) Doru.best
Just fighting older $0.99 3 66% 90 $89 (exactly $89) Wangziyue
Riverside Gals / 大乱闘リバーサイドギャルズ $1.99 1 100% 30 $60 (exactly $60) 黒の御者団
Hunted Hunter $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Athmos Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.