Do I ship it?

Games › Battle Royale › Battle Royale + Action-Adventure

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Action-Adventure Battle Royale?

Battle Royale + Action-Adventure

Of 34 developers who shipped an Action-Adventure Battle Royale in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 95 more are announced, ×5.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 10 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $240 in the last 2 years and $210 over 4, against a market of $1.3k for a 10 / 10 build. 16 developers shipped in the last year and 95 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 30% on the market, 95 announced, ×5.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Battle Royale + Action-Adventure
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 34
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $89 → $240 → $240 → $390 → $449 → $119 → $30 (still earning) → $480 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Battle Royale + Action-Adventure: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 34
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $240 (exactly $240)
Top 25% $719 (exactly $719)
Top 5% $52k (exactly $52,462)
Developers, 2 yr 34
Released games 144
Announced 95
Effort 10 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 30% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 28%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Battle Royale
effort 10 / 10 · low · 100-player servers and constant live ops
Action-Adventure
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
10 / 10 · studio only
Systems
Battle Royale, Action-Adventure; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Third-Person Shooter, Arena Shooter
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Third Person, 3D, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 54% positive over 16,422 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $240, 1 in 4 over $710, 1 in 20 over $52k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 31 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 95 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Battle Royale with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Immersive SimFair13 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  2. + MysteryLong shot12 devs · median $359 · 9 announced
  3. + LootPoor odds9 devs · median $4.3k · 23 announced
  4. + SportsPoor odds18 devs · median $3.8k · 26 announced
  5. + Hero ShooterPoor odds9 devs · median $3.6k · 29 announced
  6. + PuzzlePoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 21 announced
  7. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds12 devs · median $3.2k · 18 announced
  8. + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 30 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds34 devs · median $1.3k · 89 announced
  10. + SandboxPoor odds7 devs · median $1.2k · 20 announced
  11. + 4 Player LocalPoor odds17 devs · median $898 · 28 announced
  12. + RoguelitePoor odds14 devs · median $748 · 20 announced

All 91 pairs on the Battle Royale page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Mistfall Hunter 2026 · $12M Bloodshore 2021 · $371k Bail or Jail(OBAKEIDORO!) 2022 · $113k River City Melee : Battle Royal Special 2017 · $53k Dawn of Anarchy 2025 · $52k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Mistfall Hunter $24.99 16,045 53% 481k $12M (exactly $12,028,936) Bellring Games
Bloodshore older $14.99 826 68% 25k $371k (exactly $371,452) Wales Interactive, Good Gate Media, Way… (Wales Interactive, Good Gate Media, Wayout Pictures, Posterity Entertainment)
Bail or Jail(OBAKEIDORO!) older $19.99 188 81% 5.6k $113k (exactly $112,744) FREE STYLE, Inc., KONAMI
River City Melee : Battle Royal Special older $19.99 89 57% 2.7k $53k (exactly $53,373) Arc System Works
Dawn of Anarchy $13.99 125 84% 3.8k $52k (exactly $52,462) Quacky Games
FMTC $7.00 75 78% 2.3k $16k (exactly $15,750) FMTC
Fast Royal $14.99 30 100% 900 $13k (exactly $13,491) Edos Interactive
Zombie sanctuary: Ash older $69.99 6 66% 180 $13k (exactly $12,598) 7miao game
Damsels in Distress $8.99 36 83% 1.1k $9.7k (exactly $9,709) Anime Mania
Hentai Mission Ukraine older $1.99 140 91% 4.2k $8.4k (exactly $8,358) Who We Are Games
Maniac Path 3 $9.99 12 100% 360 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Gamesforgames
鬼灵的冒险GUILING's Adventure $1.99 54 94% 1.6k $3.2k (exactly $3,224) 硅晶石工作室Sicrystal Studio
Hentai USSR $0.99 39 87% 1.2k $1.2k (exactly $1,158) Who We Are Games
SUPER MARKET $5.99 4 75% 120 $719 (exactly $719) Spectacularly Obsolete Logic Operations… (Spectacularly Obsolete Logic Operations: Glitchy Applications Marvelously Executed Shoddily)
OutBreak: The Last Survivor $9.99 2 0% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Briant Entertainment

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.