Should I ship a 6DOF RPG?
RPG + 6DOF
Of 25 developers who shipped a 6DOF RPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 45 more are announced, ×3.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $450, ×0.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $12k, ×21 the market median. Revenue is up 80% on the market; 45 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $179 (exactly $179) |
|---|---|
| Median | $450 (exactly $450) |
| Top 25% | $1.8k (exactly $1,799) |
| Top 5% | $13k (exactly $12,949) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 25 |
| Released games | 88 |
| Announced | 45 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 80% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- RPG, 6DOF; 3 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Adventure, Action
- Price point
- $6.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
- Art
- 3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Comedy
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.
The top 10 games average 62% positive over 134 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $180. All of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 45 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + IdlerFair
- + Boss RushFair
- + SportsFair
- + Combat RacingFair
- + Split ScreenFair
- + Precision PlatformerFair
- + SamuraiPoor odds
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + 4XPoor odds
- + MinigamesPoor odds
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
Comparable games
河洛群俠傳 (Ho Tu Lo Shu ： The Books of Dragon) 2018 · $5.2M 
Wanted Raccoon 2021 · EA · $336k 
Underspace 2024 · EA · $260k 
Buccaneers! 2022 · $208k 
Sea Dogs: City of Abandoned Ships 2018 · $59k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | 河洛群俠傳 (Ho Tu Lo Shu ： The Books of Dragon) | older | $17.99 | 9,616 81% | 288k | $5.2M (exactly $5,189,755) | 香港商河洛互動娛樂股份有限公司 |
| | Wanted Raccoon | · EA older | $16.99 | 660 72% | 20k | $336k (exactly $336,402) | MAD Sprouts |
| | Underspace | · EA older | $19.99 | 434 81% | 13k | $260k (exactly $260,270) | Pastaspace Interactive |
| | Buccaneers! | older | $17.99 | 386 82% | 12k | $208k (exactly $208,324) | Skyward Digital |
| | Sea Dogs: City of Abandoned Ships | older | $7.99 | 245 76% | 7.4k | $59k (exactly $58,726) | Akella |
 | Sea Dogs | older | $11.99 | 162 75% | 4.9k | $58k (exactly $58,271) | Akella |
 | Miner Wars 2081 | older | $4.99 | 236 35% | 7.1k | $35k (exactly $35,329) | Keen Software House |
 | NeonXSZ | older | $9.99 | 92 75% | 2.8k | $28k (exactly $27,572) | Intravenous Software |
 | Darksword: Battle Eternity | older | $24.99 | 29 55% | 870 | $22k (exactly $21,741) | Com2uS ROCA |
 | STAY ALIVE MY SON (VR): A True Story About A Father's Relentless Search For His Son | older | $19.99 | 36 100% | 1.1k | $22k (exactly $21,589) | UME STUDIOS |
 | One More Delve | $13.99 | 36 66% | 1.1k | $15k (exactly $15,109) | ATVR | |
 | Spacefleet: Heat Death | · EA | $11.99 | 36 86% | 1.1k | $13k (exactly $12,949) | Spacezero Interactive |
 | Virgin Simulator | $4.99 | 30 36% | 900 | $4.5k (exactly $4,491) | Ilmir Nasertdinov | |
 | Horror Simulator VR | $14.99 | 5 80% | 150 | $2.2k (exactly $2,248) | Suplife Games | |
 | New Year Simulator 2025 | · EA | $17.99 | 4 50% | 120 | $2.2k (exactly $2,159) | HappyJack, PureDeli |
 | Only Straight and Up! | $19.99 | 3 33% | 90 | $1.8k (exactly $1,799) | AF Games | |
 | Shopenkraft's Magic Goods | $14.99 | 4 50% | 120 | $1.8k (exactly $1,799) | Ingenious Studios | |
 | Grand Donald Trump Simulator | $6.99 | 7 100% | 210 | $1.5k (exactly $1,468) | Nuke Island Games | |
 | ShadowStrikeVR | · EA | $9.99 | 3 0% | 90 | $899 (exactly $899) | Charming Game Studio |
 | Landmaster | · EA | $4.99 | 6 33% | 180 | $898 (exactly $898) | Creative Quark |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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