Should I ship a Sports 4X?
4X + Sports
Only 1 developer shipped a Sports 4X in the last 2 years. Over all years on record, 5 did: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 1 more is announced.
Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.
Only 1 developer shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $44k against a market of $1.5k. 1 game is announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $891 (exactly $891) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.2k (exactly $2,157) |
| Top 25% | $44k (exactly $43,524) |
| Top 5% | $413k (exactly $412,697) |
| Developers, all | 5 |
| Released games | 30 |
| Announced | 1 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: too few recent games to read.
Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- 4X, Sports
- Price point
- $7.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 5 games average 71% positive over 509 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $900. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 1 game is announced against 1 developer who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
4X with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + CombatFair
- + Colony SimPoor odds
- + Turn-BasedPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + DiplomacyPoor odds
- + SurvivalPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
- + Alternate HistoryPoor odds
- + RPGPoor odds
- + BuildingPoor odds
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
- + Strategy RPGPoor odds
Comparable games
Pro Cycling Manager 2021 2021 · $413k 
FD 27: Direct Your Football Club 2026 · EA · $44k 
OFFROAD VR 2023 · $2.2k 
Racing Outlaws 2022 · $891 
Universal Truck Simulator Tow Games 2023 · $298 | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Pro Cycling Manager 2021 | $39.99 | 344 77% | 10k | $413k (exactly $412,697) | Cyanide Studio | |
| | FD 27: Direct Your Football Club | · EA | $11.99 | 121 56% | 3.6k | $44k (exactly $43,524) | Syra Games |
| | OFFROAD VR | $7.99 | 9 33% | 270 | $2.2k (exactly $2,157) | İNİTİUM STUDİO | |
| | Racing Outlaws | $0.99 | 30 73% | 900 | $891 (exactly $891) | Enaayah Software Development and Servic… (Enaayah Software Development and Services Private Limited) | |
| | Universal Truck Simulator Tow Games | $1.99 | 5 60% | 150 | $298 (exactly $298) | WinGameStudio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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