Do I ship it?

Games4 Player Local4 Player Local + War

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a War 4 Player Local game?

4 Player Local + War

Only 7 developers shipped a War 4 Player Local game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Trivia War, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $90 in the last 2 years and $120 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 5 developers shipped in the last year and 15 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.1 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 15 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
4 Player Local + War
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for 4 Player Local + War: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $90 (exactly $90)
Top 25% $210 (exactly $210)
Top 5% $4.5k (exactly $4,496)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 27
Announced 15
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 150% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 30%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

4 Player Local
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
War
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
4 Player Local
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 69% positive over 422 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $90, 1 in 4 over $210, 1 in 20 over $4.4k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 15 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

4 Player Local with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Open WorldFair14 devs · median $82k · 20 announced
  2. + Multiple EndingsFair10 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  3. + SimulationFair69 devs · median $2.1k · 86 announced
  4. + Immersive SimFair11 devs · median $2.1k · 15 announced
  5. + CatsFair17 devs · median $1.3k · 16 announced
  6. + RhythmFair10 devs · median $539 · 10 announced
  7. + ManagementPoor odds11 devs · median $22k · 37 announced
  8. + Football (Soccer)Poor odds14 devs · median $15k · 27 announced
  9. + Beat 'em upPoor odds30 devs · median $8.7k · 67 announced
  10. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds15 devs · median $8.5k · 19 announced
  11. + TriviaPoor odds9 devs · median $7.2k · 9 announced
  12. + MinigamesPoor odds12 devs · median $7.2k · 28 announced

All 109 pairs on the 4 Player Local page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
World Empire 2027 older $19.99 80 77% 2.4k $48k (exactly $47,976) iGindisGames
King Pins older $2.99 78 85% 2.3k $7.0k (exactly $6,997) Sokpop Collective, Sokpop Collective
Trench Run older $3.99 48 50% 1.4k $5.7k (exactly $5,746) Transhuman Design
Imprisoned Light older $0.99 171 63% 5.1k $5.1k (exactly $5,079) imaginite Ltd
Trivia War $9.99 15 100% 450 $4.5k (exactly $4,496) Malachite Studios LLC
Medieval Battlefields older $6.99 14 78% 420 $2.9k (exactly $2,936) Cateia Games
Battlestage older $10.99 7 14% 210 $2.3k (exactly $2,308) FZ-Tech
I Got Isekai'd Into a Shmup older $12.99 5 80% 150 $1.9k (exactly $1,948) TOMAGameStudio
X Wars Deluxe older $19.99 1 100% 30 $600 (exactly $600) Black Stairs
Delta Squad older $2.99 3 33% 90 $269 (exactly $269) EskemaGames
Spudtoon - Born To Peel $6.99 1 100% 30 $210 (exactly $210) simon Emms
The Fallen Kingdoms $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) Bugra Ozden
Asthemroids $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) Whispersoft LLC
Reactor Critical $5.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Terran Future Games
miniBattle · EA $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) PapaDog Entertainment
Couch PVP $6.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Homelaser

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.