Do I ship it?

GamesManagementManagement + 4 Player Local

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 4 Player Local Management game?

Management + 4 Player Local

Only 11 developers shipped a 4 Player Local Management game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Better Mart Simulator, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 37 more are announced, ×5.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $22k, ×35 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.4k; 1 in 20 cleared $550k, ×887 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 37 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 35.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 37 announced, ×5.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Management + 4 Player Local
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $182k → $36k → $2.1k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Management + 4 Player Local: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $1.3k (exactly $1,349)
Median $22k (exactly $22,189)
Top 25% $66k (exactly $66,106)
Top 5% $557k (exactly $556,729)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 37
Announced 37
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $14.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Management
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
4 Player Local
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Management, 4 Player Local
Price point
$14.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 2,231 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.4k, median $22k, 1 in 4 over $66k, 1 in 20 over $550k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.4k. 6 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 37 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Management with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomeFair21 devs · median $64k · 23 announced
  2. + Job SimulatorFair195 devs · median $17k · 225 announced
  3. + WesternFair18 devs · median $13k · 22 announced
  4. + Artificial IntelligenceFair114 devs · median $12k · 154 announced
  5. + JRPGFair37 devs · median $9.4k · 35 announced
  6. + MinigamesFair22 devs · median $7.4k · 15 announced
  7. + RhythmFair19 devs · median $5.9k · 24 announced
  8. + UnderwaterFair37 devs · median $5.0k · 54 announced
  9. + CollectathonFair182 devs · median $3.5k · 230 announced
  10. + DwarvesFair13 devs · median $3.2k · 18 announced
  11. + 3D FighterFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  12. + IncrementalFair611 devs · median $1.9k · 893 announced

All 214 pairs on the Management page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
NBA 2K25 older $69.99 30,969 60% 929k $65M (exactly $65,025,609) Visual Concepts
PlateUp! older $19.99 18,500 94% 555k $11M (exactly $11,094,450) It's happening
Captain Tsubasa: Rise of New Champions older $59.99 5,072 73% 152k $9.1M (exactly $9,128,078) TAMSOFT CORPORATION
Super Mega Baseball 3 older $44.99 1,832 92% 55k $2.5M (exactly $2,472,650) Metalhead Software Inc.
Tape to Tape · EA older $19.99 3,464 92% 104k $2.1M (exactly $2,077,361) Excellent Rectangle
Cook, Serve, Delicious! older $12.99 3,713 95% 111k $1.4M (exactly $1,446,956) Vertigo Gaming Inc.
WE ARE FOOTBALL 2024 older $39.99 751 79% 23k $901k (exactly $900,975) Winning Streak Games GmbH
Better Mart Simulator $14.99 1,238 89% 37k $557k (exactly $556,729) Exanticx Studio
Vacation Cafe Simulator $19.99 700 88% 21k $420k (exactly $419,790) Alice Games
Diner Bros older $9.99 817 90% 25k $245k (exactly $244,855) JAYFLGAMES
Diner Bros 2 $14.99 147 87% 4.4k $66k (exactly $66,106) JAYFLGAMES
Jonah Lomu Rugby Challenge 4 $39.99 30 70% 900 $36k (exactly $35,991) Glinda Games
Shoresy: Legends of the North $19.99 57 78% 1.7k $34k (exactly $34,183) Treewood Games
WE ARE FOOTBALL 2027 $19.99 37 89% 1.1k $22k (exactly $22,189) Winning Streak Games GmbH
Market Empire Simulator $4.99 14 78% 420 $2.1k (exactly $2,096) Coffeeshake Games
Zoo Time $14.99 3 100% 90 $1.3k (exactly $1,349) Purple Phobia
Kitty Can Cook $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) FoxBot Software
8 Ball Pool: Play Together $5.99 3 33% 90 $539 (exactly $539) Red Suns Tech

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.