Do I ship it?

Games4 Player Local4 Player Local + Beat 'em up

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 4 Player Local Beat 'em up?

4 Player Local + Beat 'em up

Of 30 developers who shipped a 4 Player Local Beat 'em up in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 67 more are announced, ×4.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $8.7k, ×18 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $720; 1 in 20 cleared $840k, ×1775 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 67 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 18.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 67 announced, ×4.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
4 Player Local + Beat 'em up
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 30
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $123k → $1.2k → $1.2k → $19k → $16k → $2.7k → $9.4k (still earning) → $130 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 4 Player Local + Beat 'em up: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 30
Bottom 30% $719 (exactly $719)
Median $8.7k (exactly $8,691)
Top 25% $19k (exactly $18,887)
Top 5% $843k (exactly $843,228)
Developers, 2 yr 30
Released games 159
Announced 67
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

4 Player Local
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Beat 'em up
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
4 Player Local, Beat 'em up; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Local Co-Op, Local Multiplayer
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful, Retro, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 13,939 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $720, median $8.7k, 1 in 4 over $18k, 1 in 20 over $840k.

3 in 10 developers made under $720. 7 in 10 of the 19 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 67 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

4 Player Local with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Open WorldFair14 devs · median $82k · 20 announced
  2. + Multiple EndingsFair10 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  3. + SimulationFair69 devs · median $2.1k · 86 announced
  4. + Immersive SimFair11 devs · median $2.1k · 15 announced
  5. + CatsFair17 devs · median $1.3k · 16 announced
  6. + RhythmFair10 devs · median $539 · 10 announced
  7. + ManagementPoor odds11 devs · median $22k · 37 announced
  8. + Football (Soccer)Poor odds14 devs · median $15k · 27 announced
  9. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds15 devs · median $8.5k · 19 announced
  10. + TriviaPoor odds9 devs · median $7.2k · 9 announced
  11. + MinigamesPoor odds12 devs · median $7.2k · 28 announced
  12. + Artificial IntelligencePoor odds11 devs · median $6.9k · 12 announced

All 109 pairs on the 4 Player Local page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Castle Crashers® older $14.99 109,654 96% 3.3M $49M (exactly $49,311,404) The Behemoth
Rivals of Aether older $29.99 33,284 96% 999k $30M (exactly $29,945,615) Aether Studios
Road Redemption older $19.99 10,842 83% 325k $6.5M (exactly $6,501,947) Redemption Road, Pixel Dash Studios
Lost Castle 2 $17.99 10,851 78% 326k $5.9M (exactly $5,856,285) Hunter Studio
Lost Castle / 失落城堡 older $9.99 18,417 87% 553k $5.5M (exactly $5,519,575) Hunter Studio
Mother Russia Bleeds older $14.99 4,354 87% 131k $2.0M (exactly $1,957,994) Le Cartel Studio
Wrestling Empire older $19.99 3,036 94% 91k $1.8M (exactly $1,820,689) MDickie
Rubber Bandits older $9.99 5,628 84% 169k $1.7M (exactly $1,686,712) Flashbulb
Guacamelee! 2 older $19.99 2,711 91% 81k $1.6M (exactly $1,625,787) Drinkbox Studios
Scott Pilgrim vs. The World™: The Game – Complete Edition older $14.99 3,262 75% 98k $1.5M (exactly $1,466,921) Engine Software, Ubisoft Montreal, Ubis… (Engine Software, Ubisoft Montreal, Ubisoft Chengdu, Ubisoft Pune Production)
Little Fighter 2 Remastered $15.88 1,770 76% 53k $843k (exactly $843,228) Little Fighter Co Pty Ltd, Marti Wong
Scott Pilgrim EX $28.99 471 85% 14k $410k (exactly $409,629) Tribute Games Inc.
Phantom Breaker: Battle Grounds Ultimate $24.99 205 84% 6.2k $154k (exactly $153,688) Rocket Panda Games Japan
Knock'Em Out $7.99 239 85% 7.2k $57k (exactly $57,288) BBear Studio
Wendigo Blue · EA $9.99 146 90% 4.4k $44k (exactly $43,756) EndlessFluff
Bean There, Won That $7.99 117 76% 3.5k $28k (exactly $28,045) RemRem Studios
We Could Be Heroes $14.99 42 85% 1.3k $19k (exactly $18,887) CebCode Games
Gnaughty Gnomes $7.99 71 100% 2.1k $17k (exactly $17,019) SandCastles Studio
Heroes of Mount Dragon $19.99 27 66% 810 $16k (exactly $16,192) RuniQ

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.