Do I ship it?

Games › 4 Player Local › 4 Player Local + Turn-Based Combat

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 4 Player Local Turn-Based Combat game?

4 Player Local + Turn-Based Combat

Only 11 developers shipped a 4 Player Local Turn-Based Combat game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Critter Crossfire, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $90 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 4 / 10 build. 8 developers shipped in the last year and 17 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 17 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
4 Player Local + Turn-Based Combat
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $779 → $0 (still earning) → $90 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 4 Player Local + Turn-Based Combat: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $90 (exactly $90)
Top 25% $959 (exactly $959)
Top 5% $14k (exactly $13,941)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 30
Announced 17
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 165% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

4 Player Local
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Turn-Based Combat
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
4 Player Local, Turn-Based Combat
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 6 games average 88% positive over 44 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $90, 1 in 4 over $950, 1 in 20 over $13k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

4 Player Local with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Open WorldFair14 devs · median $82k · 20 announced
  2. + Multiple EndingsFair10 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  3. + SimulationFair69 devs · median $2.1k · 86 announced
  4. + Immersive SimFair11 devs · median $2.1k · 15 announced
  5. + CatsFair17 devs · median $1.3k · 16 announced
  6. + RhythmFair10 devs · median $539 · 10 announced
  7. + ManagementPoor odds11 devs · median $22k · 37 announced
  8. + Football (Soccer)Poor odds14 devs · median $15k · 27 announced
  9. + Beat 'em upPoor odds30 devs · median $8.7k · 67 announced
  10. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds15 devs · median $8.5k · 19 announced
  11. + TriviaPoor odds9 devs · median $7.2k · 9 announced
  12. + MinigamesPoor odds12 devs · median $7.2k · 28 announced

All 109 pairs on the 4 Player Local page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Worms Clan Wars 2013 · $1.3M Dokapon Kingdom: Connect 2023 · $1.2M Tricking 0 2022 · EA · $64k Critter Crossfire 2025 · $14k 富甲天下2 2023 · $5.7k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Worms Clan Wars older $24.99 1,678 77% 50k $1.3M (exactly $1,257,997) Team17 Digital Ltd
Dokapon Kingdom: Connect older $49.99 801 86% 24k $1.2M (exactly $1,201,260) Idea Factory, Compile Heart, Sting
Tricking 0 · EA older $19.99 107 89% 3.2k $64k (exactly $64,168) Full-in Studios
Critter Crossfire $14.99 31 90% 930 $14k (exactly $13,941) Evan Polekoff
富甲天下2 older $3.90 49 91% 1.5k $5.7k (exactly $5,733) T-Time Technology CO., LTD.
Brain Games older $5.99 27 81% 810 $4.9k (exactly $4,852) Serhii Khramov, Dmytro Pohrebnyi, Ivan… (Serhii Khramov, Dmytro Pohrebnyi, Ivan Shutko, Illia Ustenko)
Hex Gambit: Respawned older $14.99 7 100% 210 $3.1k (exactly $3,148) One Man Left Studios
Medieval Battlefields older $6.99 14 78% 420 $2.9k (exactly $2,936) Cateia Games
Boardquest: Tales of Liria $11.99 5 100% 150 $1.8k (exactly $1,798) Ramezware SL
Hybrid Beasts $7.99 4 50% 120 $959 (exactly $959) Beastbits
POGO Stadium · EA $12.99 2 100% 60 $779 (exactly $779) Kyoto Entertainment Works Inc.
QBased GORILLAS · EA $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) A-Town Techworks
Tactical Roulette $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) AlbertFreeman
Dungeon Twist $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Magari Games
Ultimate Mythic Ski Jumping League $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Eric Behme, Oliver Müller
DICEPTION $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Alexander Thurn
Reactor Critical $5.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Terran Future Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.