Do I ship it?

Games4 Player Local4 Player Local + Time Management

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 4 Player Local Time Management game?

4 Player Local + Time Management

Only 14 developers shipped a 4 Player Local Time Management game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Walk of Life, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 31 more are announced, ×3.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.1k, ×4.4 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $700; 1 in 20 cleared $530k, ×1121 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 31 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 31 announced, ×3.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
4 Player Local + Time Management
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $10k → $8.5k → $1.1k → $599 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 4 Player Local + Time Management: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $693 (exactly $693)
Median $2.1k (exactly $2,096)
Top 25% $24k (exactly $23,653)
Top 5% $533k (exactly $532,534)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 30
Announced 31
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $11.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

4 Player Local
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Time Management
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
4 Player Local, Time Management
Price point
$11.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 1,346 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $700, median $2.1k, 1 in 4 over $23k, 1 in 20 over $530k.

3 in 10 developers made under $700. 7 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 31 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

4 Player Local with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Open WorldFair14 devs · median $82k · 20 announced
  2. + Multiple EndingsFair10 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  3. + SimulationFair69 devs · median $2.1k · 86 announced
  4. + Immersive SimFair11 devs · median $2.1k · 15 announced
  5. + CatsFair17 devs · median $1.3k · 16 announced
  6. + RhythmFair10 devs · median $539 · 10 announced
  7. + ManagementPoor odds11 devs · median $22k · 37 announced
  8. + Football (Soccer)Poor odds14 devs · median $15k · 27 announced
  9. + Beat 'em upPoor odds30 devs · median $8.7k · 67 announced
  10. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds15 devs · median $8.5k · 19 announced
  11. + TriviaPoor odds9 devs · median $7.2k · 9 announced
  12. + MinigamesPoor odds12 devs · median $7.2k · 28 announced

All 109 pairs on the 4 Player Local page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Cook, Serve, Delicious! older $12.99 3,713 95% 111k $1.4M (exactly $1,446,956) Vertigo Gaming Inc.
No Time to Relax older $13.99 2,486 92% 75k $1.0M (exactly $1,043,374) Porcelain Fortress
WE ARE FOOTBALL 2024 older $39.99 751 79% 23k $901k (exactly $900,975) Winning Streak Games GmbH
Walk of Life $19.99 888 94% 27k $533k (exactly $532,534) Porcelain Fortress
Diner Bros older $9.99 817 90% 25k $245k (exactly $244,855) JAYFLGAMES
Innchanted older $19.99 117 84% 3.5k $70k (exactly $70,165) DragonBear Studios
Diner Bros 2 $14.99 147 87% 4.4k $66k (exactly $66,106) JAYFLGAMES
Tipston Salvage $16.99 80 97% 2.4k $41k (exactly $40,776) Pontus Karlsson
Potion Party older $9.99 90 90% 2.7k $27k (exactly $26,973) RPGames
Party Club $4.99 158 72% 4.7k $24k (exactly $23,653) Lucid11 Interactive
Ritual Party · EA $11.99 28 89% 840 $10k (exactly $10,072) Hologram Monster
Welcome to Empyreum $14.99 19 78% 570 $8.5k (exactly $8,544) Tapioca Games
Market Empire Simulator $4.99 14 78% 420 $2.1k (exactly $2,096) Coffeeshake Games
Developer Daily $9.99 6 83% 180 $1.8k (exactly $1,798) Mehan Games
Forklift Certified : Stacked and Loaded $11.99 3 66% 90 $1.1k (exactly $1,079) ProjectorGames
Cook Saga · EA $7.70 3 66% 90 $693 (exactly $693) Nasus Solution

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.