Do I ship it?

Games4 Player Local4 Player Local + Robots

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Robot 4 Player Local game?

4 Player Local + Robots

Only 12 developers shipped a Robot 4 Player Local game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, PizzaPanic, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.4 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $90; 1 in 20 cleared $2.6k, ×4.3 the market median. Revenue is down 70% on the market; 24 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 70% on the market, 24 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
4 Player Local + Robots
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $597 → $1.8k → $1.9k → $150 → $2.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 4 Player Local + Robots: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $899 (exactly $899)
Top 25% $2.2k (exactly $2,158)
Top 5% $2.7k (exactly $2,697)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 75
Announced 24
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 24%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

4 Player Local
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Robots
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
4 Player Local
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 86% positive over 45 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $900, 1 in 4 over $2.1k, 1 in 20 over $2.6k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. All of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 24 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

4 Player Local with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Open WorldFair14 devs · median $82k · 20 announced
  2. + Multiple EndingsFair10 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  3. + SimulationFair69 devs · median $2.1k · 86 announced
  4. + Immersive SimFair11 devs · median $2.1k · 15 announced
  5. + CatsFair17 devs · median $1.3k · 16 announced
  6. + RhythmFair10 devs · median $539 · 10 announced
  7. + ManagementPoor odds11 devs · median $22k · 37 announced
  8. + Football (Soccer)Poor odds14 devs · median $15k · 27 announced
  9. + Beat 'em upPoor odds30 devs · median $8.7k · 67 announced
  10. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds15 devs · median $8.5k · 19 announced
  11. + TriviaPoor odds9 devs · median $7.2k · 9 announced
  12. + MinigamesPoor odds12 devs · median $7.2k · 28 announced

All 109 pairs on the 4 Player Local page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Assault Android Cactus+ older $19.99 1,325 94% 40k $795k (exactly $794,602) Witch Beam
Robot Roller-Derby Disco Dodgeball older $9.99 2,258 91% 68k $677k (exactly $676,723) Erik Asmussen
A Robot Named Fight! older $12.99 796 88% 24k $310k (exactly $310,201) Morningstar Game Studio
SUPER BOMBERMAN R 2 older $49.99 149 53% 4.5k $223k (exactly $223,455) KONAMI
Death Squared older $14.99 471 90% 14k $212k (exactly $211,809) SMG Studio
Unspottable older $9.99 694 89% 21k $208k (exactly $207,992) GrosChevaux
Megabyte Punch older $14.99 409 94% 12k $184k (exactly $183,927) Team Reptile
Cobalt older $14.99 341 92% 10k $153k (exactly $153,348) Oxeye Game Studio
Garrison: Archangel older $14.99 208 82% 6.2k $94k (exactly $93,538) Indigo Entertainment
Stardust Galaxy Warriors: Stellar Climax older $9.99 186 91% 5.6k $56k (exactly $55,744) Dreamloop Games
PizzaPanic $8.99 10 80% 300 $2.7k (exactly $2,697) Catnip Lab
MechaCap Arena $7.99 11 90% 330 $2.6k (exactly $2,637) Paraflux Games
Fighties 2 $11.99 6 66% 180 $2.2k (exactly $2,158) Pillow Pig Games
Biida-Bash $6.99 8 100% 240 $1.7k (exactly $1,678) Silver Thumb Games
Robots with Guns $7.99 4 100% 120 $959 (exactly $959) Flash of Stars
Lockjaw: Robo-Royale $9.99 3 100% 90 $899 (exactly $899) Abducted Monkeys
Blastoids $4.99 1 0% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Moragami Co., Ltd
Bad Signal $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Full Steak Developers
Ultra Mega Planet Battles $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) Solindie Games
PunchBots $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Ghost Creative Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.