Do I ship it?

Games4 Player Local4 Player Local + Psychological Horror

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Psychological-Horror 4 Player Local game?

4 Player Local + Psychological Horror

Only 8 developers shipped a Psychological-Horror 4 Player Local game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Zort, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced, ×17 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

Only 1 developer shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $2.7k against a market of $480. 17 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 5.7 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 17 announced, ×17 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
4 Player Local + Psychological Horror
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $539 → $38k → $898
Outcomes for 4 Player Local + Psychological Horror: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $2.7k (exactly $2,695)
Top 25% $10k (exactly $10,063)
Top 5% $1.4M (exactly $1,408,560)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 32
Announced 17
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 85% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

4 Player Local
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Psychological Horror
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
4 Player Local
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $8.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 24,966 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $2.7k, 1 in 4 over $10k, 1 in 20 over $1.4M.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 1 developer who shipped in the last year, ×17 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

4 Player Local with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Open WorldFair14 devs · median $82k · 20 announced
  2. + Multiple EndingsFair10 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  3. + SimulationFair69 devs · median $2.1k · 86 announced
  4. + Immersive SimFair11 devs · median $2.1k · 15 announced
  5. + CatsFair17 devs · median $1.3k · 16 announced
  6. + RhythmFair10 devs · median $539 · 10 announced
  7. + ManagementPoor odds11 devs · median $22k · 37 announced
  8. + Football (Soccer)Poor odds14 devs · median $15k · 27 announced
  9. + Beat 'em upPoor odds30 devs · median $8.7k · 67 announced
  10. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds15 devs · median $8.5k · 19 announced
  11. + TriviaPoor odds9 devs · median $7.2k · 9 announced
  12. + MinigamesPoor odds12 devs · median $7.2k · 28 announced

All 109 pairs on the 4 Player Local page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Mother Russia Bleeds older $14.99 4,354 87% 131k $2.0M (exactly $1,957,994) Le Cartel Studio
Zort · EA $4.00 11,738 90% 352k $1.4M (exactly $1,408,560) Londer Software
Mount Your Friends older $4.99 5,130 95% 154k $768k (exactly $767,961) Stegersaurus Software Inc.
Sign of Silence older $4.99 1,787 52% 54k $268k (exactly $267,514) Renderise
Pawperty Damage older $8.99 454 92% 14k $122k (exactly $122,444) Dare Looks
Don't Shout Together older $4.99 470 30% 14k $70k (exactly $70,359) SinisterGames
City Climber older $4.99 367 76% 11k $55k (exactly $54,940) Ondrej Angelovic
KunKun dream Startles the Soul older $2.99 427 79% 13k $38k (exactly $38,302) AIKUN
Tetraminos older $9.99 126 75% 3.8k $38k (exactly $37,762) Sanuk Games
Vertiginous Golf older $9.99 113 62% 3.4k $34k (exactly $33,866) Kinelco & Lone Elk Creative
Horror Royale $5.99 56 66% 1.7k $10k (exactly $10,063) Ben Wade
Lastbane · EA $3.99 39 25% 1.2k $4.7k (exactly $4,668) Lionstone Studio
Toy Scrappers $4.99 18 77% 540 $2.7k (exactly $2,695) LoudScream
Sucker head: Bodycam $4.99 6 33% 180 $898 (exactly $898) Black Apple
MonsterEnd $4.99 2 50% 60 $299 (exactly $299) XiaoDongMa
Breaking the Grip $6.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Imaginary Conception
THE IMPOSTOR $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Black Flag Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.