Do I ship it?

Games4 Player Local4 Player Local + Precision Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 4 Player Local Precision Platformer?

4 Player Local + Precision Platformer

Only 16 developers shipped a 4 Player Local Precision Platformer in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, This Is No Cave, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.7k, ×5.7 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $26k, ×56 the market median. Revenue is up 140% on the market; 16 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 140% on the market, 16 announced, ×2.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
4 Player Local + Precision Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.2k → $4.3k → $3.1k → $5.0k → $1.9k → $1.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 4 Player Local + Precision Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $2.7k (exactly $2,691)
Top 25% $13k (exactly $12,690)
Top 5% $27k (exactly $26,632)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 61
Announced 16
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 140% on the market, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

4 Player Local
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Precision Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
4 Player Local, Precision Platformer; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Arcade, Platformer
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $23.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Family Friendly, Cartoony, Minimalist
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $23.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 397 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $2.7k, 1 in 4 over $12k, 1 in 20 over $26k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. All of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 16 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

4 Player Local with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Open WorldFair14 devs · median $82k · 20 announced
  2. + Multiple EndingsFair10 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  3. + SimulationFair69 devs · median $2.1k · 86 announced
  4. + Immersive SimFair11 devs · median $2.1k · 15 announced
  5. + CatsFair17 devs · median $1.3k · 16 announced
  6. + RhythmFair10 devs · median $539 · 10 announced
  7. + ManagementPoor odds11 devs · median $22k · 37 announced
  8. + Football (Soccer)Poor odds14 devs · median $15k · 27 announced
  9. + Beat 'em upPoor odds30 devs · median $8.7k · 67 announced
  10. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds15 devs · median $8.5k · 19 announced
  11. + TriviaPoor odds9 devs · median $7.2k · 9 announced
  12. + MinigamesPoor odds12 devs · median $7.2k · 28 announced

All 109 pairs on the 4 Player Local page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Ultimate Chicken Horse older $14.99 41,060 95% 1.2M $18M (exactly $18,464,682) Clever Endeavour Games
N++ (NPLUSPLUS) older $14.99 2,825 95% 85k $1.3M (exactly $1,270,402) Metanet Software Inc.
Bloody Trapland older $4.99 2,777 83% 83k $416k (exactly $415,717) 2Play
Dustforce DX older $9.99 1,214 93% 36k $364k (exactly $363,836) Hitbox Team
Bloody Trapland 2: Curiosity older $9.99 824 83% 25k $247k (exactly $246,953) 2Play, Prasius
1001 Spikes older $14.99 493 87% 15k $222k (exactly $221,702) Nicalis, Inc.
Flat Heroes older $9.99 231 94% 6.9k $69k (exactly $69,231) Parallel Circles
City Climber older $4.99 367 76% 11k $55k (exactly $54,940) Ondrej Angelovic
Jack Axe older $14.99 75 65% 2.3k $34k (exactly $33,728) Keybol Games
Ultimate Godspeed older $12.99 75 89% 2.3k $29k (exactly $29,228) Ninoko
This Is No Cave $6.99 127 96% 3.8k $27k (exactly $26,632) monome.studio
Let's Cook Together 2 $23.99 37 75% 1.1k $27k (exactly $26,629) Yellow Dot
Running Fable Petite Party $13.99 51 100% 1.5k $21k (exactly $21,405) Seashell Studio
Warm Monkey $9.00 47 89% 1.4k $13k (exactly $12,690) Evprod
Galactic Thunderdome $9.99 35 100% 1.1k $10k (exactly $10,490) Pansimula
Basureroes: Invasion $11.99 14 100% 420 $5.0k (exactly $5,036) Javs Game Studios
Hamster Ballers $3.99 30 73% 900 $3.6k (exactly $3,591) SCH Games, Weird Dog Games
Dino-Ducks Dash $2.99 30 96% 900 $2.7k (exactly $2,691) Duckosaurus Games
G-Switch 4: Creator $4.99 13 100% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) Serius Games
KBF: Knight Bar Fight $3.99 13 100% 390 $1.6k (exactly $1,556) KBF Team

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.