Do I ship it?

Games4 Player Local4 Player Local + Post-apocalyptic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Post-apocalyptic 4 Player Local game?

4 Player Local + Post-apocalyptic

Only 11 developers shipped a Post-apocalyptic 4 Player Local game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Lastbane, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced, ×7.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $450 against a market of $630. 14 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 14 announced, ×7.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
4 Player Local + Post-apocalyptic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $90 → $899 → $450
Outcomes for 4 Player Local + Post-apocalyptic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $450 (exactly $450)
Top 25% $1.1k (exactly $1,079)
Top 5% $4.7k (exactly $4,668)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 32
Announced 14
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $10.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 80% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

4 Player Local
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Post-apocalyptic
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
4 Player Local
Price point
$10.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 43% positive over 64 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $450, 1 in 4 over $1.0k, 1 in 20 over $4.6k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. All of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 14 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

4 Player Local with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Open WorldFair14 devs · median $82k · 20 announced
  2. + Multiple EndingsFair10 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  3. + SimulationFair69 devs · median $2.1k · 86 announced
  4. + Immersive SimFair11 devs · median $2.1k · 15 announced
  5. + CatsFair17 devs · median $1.3k · 16 announced
  6. + RhythmFair10 devs · median $539 · 10 announced
  7. + ManagementPoor odds11 devs · median $22k · 37 announced
  8. + Football (Soccer)Poor odds14 devs · median $15k · 27 announced
  9. + Beat 'em upPoor odds30 devs · median $8.7k · 67 announced
  10. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds15 devs · median $8.5k · 19 announced
  11. + TriviaPoor odds9 devs · median $7.2k · 9 announced
  12. + MinigamesPoor odds12 devs · median $7.2k · 28 announced

All 109 pairs on the 4 Player Local page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
ZCREW older $6.99 333 51% 10k $70k (exactly $69,830) Emotion Studio
Ultra Space Battle Brawl older $9.99 96 81% 2.9k $29k (exactly $28,771) Mojiken
Final Days older $4.99 92 85% 2.8k $14k (exactly $13,772) +7 Software
Dunk Lords older $9.99 42 80% 1.3k $13k (exactly $12,587) Story Fort LLC
Barely Racing older $8.99 21 85% 630 $5.7k (exactly $5,664) Fragile Software
Lastbane · EA $3.99 39 25% 1.2k $4.7k (exactly $4,668) Lionstone Studio
Scatteria - Post-apocalyptic shooter · EA older $9.99 14 71% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Piston Media
Lone Wolf $19.99 6 100% 180 $3.6k (exactly $3,598) Play-Em
Hexapoda older $12.99 9 100% 270 $3.5k (exactly $3,507) TOMAGameStudio
Downslope older $4.99 22 86% 660 $3.3k (exactly $3,293) Mind's Eye Games
Exanimate $11.99 3 100% 90 $1.1k (exactly $1,079) CodeCabanaGames
Anarkade $14.99 2 100% 60 $899 (exactly $899) Pixelatom
Sucker head: Bodycam $4.99 6 33% 180 $898 (exactly $898) Black Apple
Highrisers Couch Co-Op · EA $14.99 1 0% 30 $450 (exactly $450) Solar Powered Games
L.O.S.T - Last Ones Standing Together · EA $10.99 1 100% 30 $330 (exactly $330) High Level Studio
MonsterEnd $4.99 2 50% 60 $299 (exactly $299) XiaoDongMa
Fortune Crafter $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) VIKTOR LUBIANSKII
Final Stand $0.99 3 66% 90 $89 (exactly $89) Richat Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.