Do I ship it?

Games › 4 Player Local › 4 Player Local + Logic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 4 Player Local Logic game?

4 Player Local + Logic

Only 19 developers shipped a 4 Player Local Logic game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Fallacy Quiz, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $210 in the last 2 years and $420 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 4 / 10 build. 13 developers shipped in the last year and 20 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 20 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
4 Player Local + Logic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 19
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.2k → $2.7k → $4.6k → $119 (still earning) → $60 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 4 Player Local + Logic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 19
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $210 (exactly $210)
Top 25% $1.8k (exactly $1,798)
Top 5% $40k (exactly $39,574)
Developers, 2 yr 19
Released games 53
Announced 20
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 115% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

4 Player Local
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
4 Player Local, Logic; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Co-op, Local Co-Op, Local Multiplayer
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Family Friendly, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 79% positive over 203 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $210, 1 in 4 over $1.7k, 1 in 20 over $39k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

4 Player Local with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Open WorldFair14 devs · median $82k · 20 announced
  2. + Multiple EndingsFair10 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  3. + SimulationFair69 devs · median $2.1k · 86 announced
  4. + Immersive SimFair11 devs · median $2.1k · 15 announced
  5. + CatsFair17 devs · median $1.3k · 16 announced
  6. + RhythmFair10 devs · median $539 · 10 announced
  7. + ManagementPoor odds11 devs · median $22k · 37 announced
  8. + Football (Soccer)Poor odds14 devs · median $15k · 27 announced
  9. + Beat 'em upPoor odds30 devs · median $8.7k · 67 announced
  10. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds15 devs · median $8.5k · 19 announced
  11. + TriviaPoor odds9 devs · median $7.2k · 9 announced
  12. + MinigamesPoor odds12 devs · median $7.2k · 28 announced

All 109 pairs on the 4 Player Local page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Clue/Cluedo: Classic Edition 2018 · $1.6M Fallacy Quiz 2024 · $40k Wer weiß denn sowas? - Das Spiel 2018 · $35k Schlag den Star - Das Spiel 2017 · $22k Wer weiß denn sowas? - Das 2. Spiel 2019 · $16k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Clue/Cluedo: Classic Edition older $16.99 3,096 88% 93k $1.6M (exactly $1,578,031) Marmalade Game Studio Ltd
Fallacy Quiz $14.99 88 88% 2.6k $40k (exactly $39,574) Tim Krief
Wer weiß denn sowas? - Das Spiel older $19.99 58 70% 1.7k $35k (exactly $34,783) Lost the Game Studios
Schlag den Star - Das Spiel older $9.99 74 40% 2.2k $22k (exactly $22,178) Lost the Game Studios
Wer weiß denn sowas? - Das 2. Spiel older $29.99 18 66% 540 $16k (exactly $16,195) bitComposer Interactive GmbH
Gefragt Gejagt - Das Spiel older $34.99 15 40% 450 $16k (exactly $15,746) Beatshapers Ltd.
Tents and Trees older $9.99 42 90% 1.3k $13k (exactly $12,587) Frozax Games
Labyrinth older $14.99 25 84% 750 $11k (exactly $11,242) Korion Interactive, Nementic Games
Urban Flow older $5.99 50 78% 1.5k $9.0k (exactly $8,985) Baltoro Games
Cubixx HD older $8.99 33 87% 990 $8.9k (exactly $8,900) Laughing Jackal LTD
SusDoku: Clues & Suspects $4.99 37 35% 1.1k $5.5k (exactly $5,539) MyNeuronal
Carnival Heroes - Super party minigames $3.99 39 97% 1.2k $4.7k (exactly $4,668) LAN - GAMES LTD
Reaktor $6.99 22 90% 660 $4.6k (exactly $4,613) Reaktor Games
Developer Daily $9.99 6 83% 180 $1.8k (exactly $1,798) Mehan Games
Not Not 2 - A Brain Challenge $4.99 4 100% 120 $599 (exactly $599) Alt Shift
8 Ball Pool: Play Together $5.99 3 33% 90 $539 (exactly $539) Red Suns Tech
Super Puzzle Blasters $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Magic Salmon Productions
Foxyball $6.99 1 0% 30 $210 (exactly $210) Hayen Games
Puzzle Cottage $6.99 1 100% 30 $210 (exactly $210) Adib Boutros

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.