Do I ship it?

Games4 Player Local4 Player Local + Grid-Based Movement

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 4 Player Local Grid-Based Movement game?

4 Player Local + Grid-Based Movement

Only 9 developers shipped a 4 Player Local Grid-Based Movement game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Beacon Patrol, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $0 in the last 2 years and $240 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 4 / 10 build. 7 developers shipped in the last year and 15 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.0 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 15 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
4 Player Local + Grid-Based Movement
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.1k → $0 (still earning) → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 4 Player Local + Grid-Based Movement: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $0 (exactly $0)
Top 25% $779 (exactly $779)
Top 5% $25k (exactly $25,179)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 28
Announced 15
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 250% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

4 Player Local
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Grid-Based Movement
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
4 Player Local, Grid-Based Movement
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 311 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $0, 1 in 4 over $770, 1 in 20 over $25k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 15 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

4 Player Local with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Open WorldFair14 devs · median $82k · 20 announced
  2. + Multiple EndingsFair10 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  3. + SimulationFair69 devs · median $2.1k · 86 announced
  4. + Immersive SimFair11 devs · median $2.1k · 15 announced
  5. + CatsFair17 devs · median $1.3k · 16 announced
  6. + RhythmFair10 devs · median $539 · 10 announced
  7. + ManagementPoor odds11 devs · median $22k · 37 announced
  8. + Football (Soccer)Poor odds14 devs · median $15k · 27 announced
  9. + Beat 'em upPoor odds30 devs · median $8.7k · 67 announced
  10. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds15 devs · median $8.5k · 19 announced
  11. + TriviaPoor odds9 devs · median $7.2k · 9 announced
  12. + MinigamesPoor odds12 devs · median $7.2k · 28 announced

All 109 pairs on the 4 Player Local page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Ganbare! Super Strikers older $9.99 85 85% 2.6k $25k (exactly $25,474) rese
Beacon Patrol $11.99 70 97% 2.1k $25k (exactly $25,179) Shapes and Dreams, BrutalHack
SusDoku: Clues & Suspects $4.99 37 35% 1.1k $5.5k (exactly $5,539) MyNeuronal
Where are my Internets? older $2.99 56 76% 1.7k $5.0k (exactly $5,023) Lokator Studio
Friday Night Bullet Arena older $9.99 16 100% 480 $4.8k (exactly $4,795) Red Nexus Games Inc.
Hex Gambit: Respawned older $14.99 7 100% 210 $3.1k (exactly $3,148) One Man Left Studios
Valley of No Roads older $7.99 12 33% 360 $2.9k (exactly $2,876) Lunar Activities
Shell Shuffle · EA older $9.99 8 87% 240 $2.4k (exactly $2,398) Victorian Clambake
Gerritory older $7.99 7 85% 210 $1.7k (exactly $1,678) Party Goose, Digital Crafter
Siheyuan older $2.99 13 100% 390 $1.2k (exactly $1,166) We Are Muesli
POGO Stadium · EA $12.99 2 100% 60 $779 (exactly $779) Kyoto Entertainment Works Inc.
Tanks: Total Destruction $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) 2DevStudio
Dungeon Twist $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Magari Games
Tiny Pods Rescue - 2D Board Game Edition $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Chris Cornu, Alex Cornu
Snake Party Extreme $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) yyrGames
Rulers of Cospaia · EA $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) ZanzoDev
DICEPTION $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Alexander Thurn

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.