Do I ship it?

Games4 Player Local4 Player Local + Cyberpunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cyberpunk 4 Player Local game?

4 Player Local + Cyberpunk

Only 7 developers shipped a Cyberpunk 4 Player Local game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Forehead Chip, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced, ×6.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $900 against a market of $630. 25 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 1.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 25 announced, ×6.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
4 Player Local + Cyberpunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for 4 Player Local + Cyberpunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $898 (exactly $898)
Top 25% $3.6k (exactly $3,597)
Top 5% $5.4k (exactly $5,395)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 39
Announced 25
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

4 Player Local
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Cyberpunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
4 Player Local
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 6,870 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $900, 1 in 4 over $3.5k, 1 in 20 over $5.3k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 25 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

4 Player Local with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Open WorldFair14 devs · median $82k · 20 announced
  2. + Multiple EndingsFair10 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  3. + SimulationFair69 devs · median $2.1k · 86 announced
  4. + Immersive SimFair11 devs · median $2.1k · 15 announced
  5. + CatsFair17 devs · median $1.3k · 16 announced
  6. + RhythmFair10 devs · median $539 · 10 announced
  7. + ManagementPoor odds11 devs · median $22k · 37 announced
  8. + Football (Soccer)Poor odds14 devs · median $15k · 27 announced
  9. + Beat 'em upPoor odds30 devs · median $8.7k · 67 announced
  10. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds15 devs · median $8.5k · 19 announced
  11. + TriviaPoor odds9 devs · median $7.2k · 9 announced
  12. + MinigamesPoor odds12 devs · median $7.2k · 28 announced

All 109 pairs on the 4 Player Local page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Distance older $24.99 5,832 93% 175k $4.4M (exactly $4,372,250) Refract
It's Quiz Time older $24.99 225 74% 6.8k $169k (exactly $168,682) Snap Finger Click
Hyper Jam older $12.99 431 93% 13k $168k (exactly $167,961) Bit Dragon
Astro Duel 2 older $19.99 59 100% 1.8k $35k (exactly $35,382) Rusty Moyher
Super Impossible Road older $9.99 94 87% 2.8k $28k (exactly $28,172) Wonderful Lasers
HordeCore older $5.99 118 63% 3.5k $21k (exactly $21,205) Digitality Games
AT SUNDOWN: Shots in the Dark older $9.99 27 55% 810 $8.1k (exactly $8,092) Mildbeast
Cyber Protocol older $9.99 27 96% 810 $8.1k (exactly $8,092) RedDeer.Games
Circuit Breakers older $6.99 31 74% 930 $6.5k (exactly $6,501) Triverske
Dark Data older $6.99 26 84% 780 $5.5k (exactly $5,452) Enlightened Realm, Pixelfoot Games
Forehead Chip $9.99 18 94% 540 $5.4k (exactly $5,395) Naturally Intelligent
Zone 6 $11.99 10 100% 300 $3.6k (exactly $3,597) Ullbors
Stealth Syndicate $3.99 8 100% 240 $958 (exactly $958) Vincent Lopes-Vicente
TANK ZERO $5.99 5 100% 150 $898 (exactly $898) Emergency Exit
Sunset Arena $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Unprecedented Studios
Sunset Racing $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Unprecedented Studios
Hollow Ground $11.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Ledendal Games
/trace $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) flowty.dev

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.