Do I ship it?

Games › 4 Player Local › 4 Player Local + Collectathon

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 4 Player Local Collectathon game?

4 Player Local + Collectathon

Only 8 developers shipped a 4 Player Local Collectathon game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Biped 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $720 against a market of $480. 15 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 1.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 10695% on the market, 15 announced, ×3.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
4 Player Local + Collectathon
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.9k → $299 → $898 → $366k → $1.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 4 Player Local + Collectathon: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $719 (exactly $719)
Top 25% $18k (exactly $17,988)
Top 5% $366k (exactly $365,606)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 30
Announced 15
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10695% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

4 Player Local
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Collectathon
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
4 Player Local, Collectathon
Price point
$8.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 72% positive over 878 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $720, 1 in 4 over $17k, 1 in 20 over $360k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 15 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

4 Player Local with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Open WorldFair14 devs · median $82k · 20 announced
  2. + Multiple EndingsFair10 devs · median $3.6k · 10 announced
  3. + SimulationFair69 devs · median $2.1k · 86 announced
  4. + Immersive SimFair11 devs · median $2.1k · 15 announced
  5. + CatsFair17 devs · median $1.3k · 16 announced
  6. + RhythmFair10 devs · median $539 · 10 announced
  7. + ManagementPoor odds11 devs · median $22k · 37 announced
  8. + Football (Soccer)Poor odds14 devs · median $15k · 27 announced
  9. + Beat 'em upPoor odds30 devs · median $8.7k · 67 announced
  10. + Female ProtagonistPoor odds15 devs · median $8.5k · 19 announced
  11. + TriviaPoor odds9 devs · median $7.2k · 9 announced
  12. + MinigamesPoor odds12 devs · median $7.2k · 28 announced

All 109 pairs on the 4 Player Local page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Amazing Frog? 2 2022 · EA · $435k Biped 2 2025 · $366k Unbox: Newbie's Adventure 2016 · $176k Tokaido 2017 · $53k D-Corp 2021 · $22k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Amazing Frog? 2 · EA older $19.99 726 77% 22k $435k (exactly $435,382) Fayju
Biped 2 $14.99 813 71% 24k $366k (exactly $365,606) META Publishing, NEXT Studios, PlayJoy… (META Publishing, NEXT Studios, PlayJoy Studios)
Unbox: Newbie's Adventure older $19.99 293 88% 8.8k $176k (exactly $175,712) Prospect Games
Tokaido older $11.99 147 68% 4.4k $53k (exactly $52,876) Funforge
D-Corp older $19.99 36 77% 1.1k $22k (exactly $21,589) Frogsong Studios
Baby Shark™: Sing & Swim Party older $39.99 16 100% 480 $19k (exactly $19,195) Recotechnology S.L.
Lunars · EA $14.99 40 97% 1.2k $18k (exactly $17,988) Anubis Arts
PixelJunk™ Scrappers Deluxe older $14.99 11 36% 330 $4.9k (exactly $4,947) Q-Games Ltd.
Speedy Golf older $4.99 28 96% 840 $4.2k (exactly $4,192) Off The Deck Games
The Ultimate Collector · EA $8.99 7 42% 210 $1.9k (exactly $1,888) StariStudios
Reel it! World Fishing $12.79 3 66% 90 $1.2k (exactly $1,151) SAT-BOX
Grab it! Crane Game $4.99 6 100% 180 $898 (exactly $898) SAT-BOX
Reel it! Ocean Fishing $11.99 2 100% 60 $719 (exactly $719) SAT-BOX
Scoop it! Crane Game $6.99 3 100% 90 $629 (exactly $629) SAT-BOX
Reel it! Fishing $9.99 2 50% 60 $599 (exactly $599) SAT-BOX
PAKO Caravan $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Tree Men Games
Bruxa $4.20 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) xinela

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.