Games › 4 Player Local › 4 Player Local + Aliens
Should I ship an Alien 4 Player Local game?
4 Player Local + Aliens
Only 13 developers shipped an Alien 4 Player Local game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, This Is No Cave, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $150 in the last 2 years and $150 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 4 / 10 build. 9 developers shipped in the last year and 21 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $150 (exactly $150) |
| Top 25% | $1.3k (exactly $1,347) |
| Top 5% | $27k (exactly $26,632) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 13 |
| Released games | 51 |
| Announced | 21 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 260% on the market, supply 125% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- 4 Player Local
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
- Aliens
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- 4 Player Local; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Arcade, Action, Local Multiplayer
- Price point
- $5.99 typical · top 25% priced $20.00 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Retro
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $20.00 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 9 games average 90% positive over 188 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 21 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
4 Player Local with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Open WorldFair
- + Multiple EndingsFair
- + SimulationFair
- + Immersive SimFair
- + CatsFair
- + RhythmFair
- + ManagementPoor odds
- + Football (Soccer)Poor odds
- + Beat 'em upPoor odds
- + Female ProtagonistPoor odds
- + TriviaPoor odds
- + MinigamesPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Shadowgrounds Survivor | older | $9.99 | 583 62% | 17k | $175k (exactly $174,725) | Frozenbyte |
| | Hive Jump | older | $19.99 | 189 68% | 5.7k | $113k (exactly $113,343) | Graphite Lab |
| | It came from space and ate our brains | older | $9.99 | 167 79% | 5.0k | $50k (exactly $50,050) | Triangle Studios |
| | The Captain is Dead | older | $19.99 | 66 78% | 2.0k | $40k (exactly $39,580) | Thunderbox Entertainment |
| | Hole io | older | $4.99 | 217 59% | 6.5k | $32k (exactly $32,485) | VOODOO |
| | This Is No Cave | $6.99 | 127 96% | 3.8k | $27k (exactly $26,632) | monome.studio | |
| | D-Corp | older | $19.99 | 36 77% | 1.1k | $22k (exactly $21,589) | Frogsong Studios |
| | Astronimo | older | $14.99 | 47 80% | 1.4k | $21k (exactly $21,136) | Coatsink |
| | Shakes on a Plane | older | $14.99 | 46 58% | 1.4k | $21k (exactly $20,686) | Huu Games |
| | HELLFRONT: HONEYMOON | older | $9.99 | 64 75% | 1.9k | $19k (exactly $19,181) | SkyGoblin |
| | SUPERVERSE | $9.99 | 37 70% | 1.1k | $11k (exactly $11,089) | Superverse Industries | |
| | Piss Off | · EA | $20.00 | 8 100% | 240 | $4.8k (exactly $4,800) | Emmanuel Crispi |
| | Jaxx Blorgin's UFO Jam | $4.99 | 9 100% | 270 | $1.3k (exactly $1,347) | Wax Lion | |
| | SPASE DEFENSE | $5.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $539 (exactly $539) | Leo Torrijos | |
| | Carnage Mania | $7.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $240 (exactly $240) | Gensart | |
| | Blastoids | $4.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $150 (exactly $150) | Moragami Co., Ltd | |
| | RAGMONTON ENDLESS for save indie game | $3.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $120 (exactly $120) | Sinned Games | |
| | Ultra Mega Planet Battles | $2.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $90 (exactly $90) | Solindie Games | |
| | Earth Space Defenders | $6.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Hetocode |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.