Do I ship it?

Games › Battle Royale › Battle Royale + 3D Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 3D Platformer Battle Royale?

Battle Royale + 3D Platformer

Of 38 developers who shipped a 3D Platformer Battle Royale in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 54 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 10 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $90 in the last 2 years and $90 over 4, against a market of $1.3k for a 10 / 10 build. 17 developers shipped in the last year and 54 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 615% on the market, 54 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Battle Royale + 3D Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 38
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $896 → $90 → $1.1k → $0 → $120 → $269 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Battle Royale + 3D Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 38
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $90 (exactly $90)
Top 25% $898 (exactly $898)
Top 5% $18k (exactly $17,988)
Developers, 2 yr 38
Released games 157
Announced 54
Effort 10 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 615% on the market, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 28%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Battle Royale
effort 10 / 10 · low · 100-player servers and constant live ops
3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
10 / 10 · studio only
Systems
Battle Royale, 3D Platformer; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, PvP, Co-op
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Colorful, Family Friendly
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 328 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $90, 1 in 4 over $890, 1 in 20 over $17k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. Nearly all of the 42 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 54 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Battle Royale with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Immersive SimFair13 devs · median $2.4k · 11 announced
  2. + MysteryLong shot12 devs · median $359 · 9 announced
  3. + LootPoor odds9 devs · median $4.3k · 23 announced
  4. + SportsPoor odds18 devs · median $3.8k · 26 announced
  5. + Hero ShooterPoor odds9 devs · median $3.6k · 29 announced
  6. + PuzzlePoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 21 announced
  7. + Psychological HorrorPoor odds12 devs · median $3.2k · 18 announced
  8. + Dungeon CrawlerPoor odds14 devs · median $3.2k · 30 announced
  9. + Co-opPoor odds34 devs · median $1.3k · 89 announced
  10. + SandboxPoor odds7 devs · median $1.2k · 20 announced
  11. + 4 Player LocalPoor odds17 devs · median $898 · 28 announced
  12. + RoguelitePoor odds14 devs · median $748 · 20 announced

All 91 pairs on the Battle Royale page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

DEPLOYMENT 2018 · $428k Bail or Jail(OBAKEIDORO!) 2022 · $113k FALL GIRLS 2022 · $39k Perfect Partner 2023 · $29k Dusty Derby 2024 · EA · $20k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
DEPLOYMENT older $14.99 951 85% 29k $428k (exactly $427,665) Whale Rock Games
Bail or Jail(OBAKEIDORO!) older $19.99 188 81% 5.6k $113k (exactly $112,744) FREE STYLE, Inc., KONAMI
FALL GIRLS older $6.99 187 49% 5.6k $39k (exactly $39,214) Squid Developer
Perfect Partner older $8.99 107 79% 3.2k $29k (exactly $28,858) RD Studio
Dusty Derby · EA $9.99 66 100% 2.0k $20k (exactly $19,780) Geniesoft Inc.
Lunars · EA $14.99 40 97% 1.2k $18k (exactly $17,988) Anubis Arts
FMTC $7.00 75 78% 2.3k $16k (exactly $15,750) FMTC
LASERS older $2.99 127 66% 3.8k $11k (exactly $11,392) Straight Back Games
Up or Lava! older $4.99 41 68% 1.2k $6.1k (exactly $6,138) Garden of Dreams
Idiom Royale $1.99 91 63% 2.7k $5.4k (exactly $5,433) NyxWorks
run for money Hunter vs. Runner! Which side will you win!? $29.99 5 80% 150 $4.5k (exactly $4,498) INFINITY Co., Ltd.
Turbo Balls $4.99 24 75% 720 $3.6k (exactly $3,593) OneTwoPlay
Ninjam! $8.99 8 87% 240 $2.2k (exactly $2,158) G-Blossom
Flood $6.99 9 100% 270 $1.9k (exactly $1,887) SCHIZO GAMES
BLOKES on BLOCKS! $9.99 4 100% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) CRAFTS & MEISTER Co., Ltd.
Party Party Time 3 $4.99 6 83% 180 $898 (exactly $898) SAT-BOX

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.