Do I ship it?

Games3D Fighter3D Fighter + Zombies

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Zombie 3D Fighter?

3D Fighter + Zombies

Of 26 developers who shipped a Zombie 3D Fighter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 26 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $150 in the last 2 years and $420 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build. 13 developers shipped in the last year and 26 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 60% on the market, 26 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Fighter + Zombies
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 26
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $659 → $1.0k → $772 → $449 → $1.3k → $179 → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Fighter + Zombies: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 26
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $150 (exactly $150)
Top 25% $1.3k (exactly $1,346)
Top 5% $9.3k (exactly $9,348)
Developers, 2 yr 26
Released games 72
Announced 26
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $2.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 60% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load
Zombies
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
3D Fighter; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Action-Adventure
Price point
$2.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Atmospheric, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $2.99.

The top 10 games average 72% positive over 257 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $150, 1 in 4 over $1.3k, 1 in 20 over $9.3k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. All of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 26 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Fighter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ManagementFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair34 devs · median $2.1k · 42 announced
  3. + Walking SimulatorFair17 devs · median $1.2k · 3 announced
  4. + Choose Your Own AdventureLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  5. + RhythmLong shot9 devs · median $898 · 8 announced
  6. + CollectathonLong shot15 devs · median $598 · 6 announced
  7. + ModernLong shot12 devs · median $539 · 10 announced
  8. + SimulationLong shot83 devs · median $538 · 96 announced
  9. + FightingPoor odds55 devs · median $5.0k · 87 announced
  10. + WrestlingPoor odds11 devs · median $2.3k · 21 announced
  11. + Life SimPoor odds10 devs · median $2.1k · 21 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds14 devs · median $1.6k · 25 announced

All 126 pairs on the 3D Fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Onee Chanbara ORIGIN older $59.99 1,217 75% 37k $2.2M (exactly $2,190,235) Tamsoft
NightClub Simulator · EA older $6.99 869 92% 26k $182k (exactly $182,229) mandegames
Phoenix's Faye $9.99 55 76% 1.7k $16k (exactly $16,484) BigFireball
Candy Smash VR older $4.99 78 76% 2.3k $12k (exactly $11,677) Wadup Games
DzombZ · EA older $12.99 29 68% 870 $11k (exactly $11,301) Houari Mohamed Amine
69 Ways to Kill a Zombie older $4.99 70 64% 2.1k $10k (exactly $10,479) Wadup Games
Project Three · EA $7.99 39 23% 1.2k $9.3k (exactly $9,348) The Only Way Out
Hot Blood older $7.99 23 73% 690 $5.5k (exactly $5,513) DEKLAZON
Survive The Dark · EA older $4.99 28 78% 840 $4.2k (exactly $4,192) bHaptics Inc.
Trump Loves Russia older $1.99 63 74% 1.9k $3.8k (exactly $3,761) SeedWall
Maya : Ek Pishachini $4.99 17 82% 510 $2.5k (exactly $2,545) Akshat Softwares
The Jiang Shi 2 :Curse of Soul $0.99 78 94% 2.3k $2.3k (exactly $2,317) 谭浩翔
Money Theft $4.99 13 76% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) Valkeala Software, Tero Lunkka
Hunter Moonstrike : Ai NPCs version $15.99 4 0% 120 $1.9k (exactly $1,919) 10nstudio
Zombies In Valkeala $2.99 15 66% 450 $1.3k (exactly $1,346) Tero Lunkka, Valkeala Software
Dead Station Together $0.99 27 77% 810 $802 (exactly $802) cnsgames
Open Close Door $4.99 4 50% 120 $599 (exactly $599) Crane
Haloo $2.99 5 100% 150 $449 (exactly $449) Ellelel

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.