Do I ship it?

Games3D Fighter3D Fighter + Turn-Based Combat

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Turn-Based Combat 3D Fighter?

3D Fighter + Turn-Based Combat

Only 9 developers shipped a Turn-Based Combat 3D Fighter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Wretch: Divine Ascent, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced, ×6.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $1.5k against a market of $1.5k. 20 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 10% on the market, 20 announced, ×6.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Fighter + Turn-Based Combat
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for 3D Fighter + Turn-Based Combat: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $570 (exactly $570)
Median $1.5k (exactly $1,498)
Top 25% $22k (exactly $21,600)
Top 5% $438k (exactly $438,458)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 27
Announced 20
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 26%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load
Turn-Based Combat
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
3D Fighter, Turn-Based Combat
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 74% positive over 1,524 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $570, median $1.5k, 1 in 4 over $21k, 1 in 20 over $430k.

3 in 10 developers made under $570. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ManagementFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair34 devs · median $2.1k · 42 announced
  3. + Walking SimulatorFair17 devs · median $1.2k · 3 announced
  4. + Choose Your Own AdventureLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  5. + RhythmLong shot9 devs · median $898 · 8 announced
  6. + CollectathonLong shot15 devs · median $598 · 6 announced
  7. + ModernLong shot12 devs · median $539 · 10 announced
  8. + SimulationLong shot83 devs · median $538 · 96 announced
  9. + FightingPoor odds55 devs · median $5.0k · 87 announced
  10. + WrestlingPoor odds11 devs · median $2.3k · 21 announced
  11. + Life SimPoor odds10 devs · median $2.1k · 21 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds14 devs · median $1.6k · 25 announced

All 126 pairs on the 3D Fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Wretch: Divine Ascent $14.99 975 75% 29k $438k (exactly $438,458) Ogopogo
Blood Crawler $12.99 279 76% 8.4k $109k (exactly $108,726) c3アート
Age of Gladiators II: Death League older $12.99 84 71% 2.5k $33k (exactly $32,735) Creative Storm Entertainment
Mark Out! The Wrestling Card Game older $14.99 49 93% 1.5k $22k (exactly $22,035) DIY Experiences LLC
Kinky Fight Club 2 $20.00 36 91% 1.1k $22k (exactly $21,600) Skyflare Studios, MrZGames
FAS: Fight Action Sandbox older $6.99 69 63% 2.1k $14k (exactly $14,469) Vona Soft
Elf Adventure: The Lost Castle $6.99 14 28% 420 $2.9k (exactly $2,936) 430Games
SaberStyle older $5.99 10 40% 300 $1.8k (exactly $1,797) Lucky Cat studio
Gore Sword $9.99 5 20% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) Gore Sword Games
DaiHaoY $8.99 3 33% 90 $809 (exactly $809) Lucky Cat studio
eggboy · EA $18.99 1 0% 30 $570 (exactly $570) sadboy
Drone Fire $2.99 2 100% 60 $179 (exactly $179) QplusQ
Weapon Skills $0.99 2 100% 60 $59 (exactly $59) Daniel Vaněk, Filip Přemysl Denemark

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.