Do I ship it?

Games › 3D Fighter › 3D Fighter + Tactical

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Tactical 3D Fighter?

3D Fighter + Tactical

Of 25 developers who shipped a Tactical 3D Fighter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 47 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360 in the last 2 years and $480 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build. 16 developers shipped in the last year and 47 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 15% on the market, 47 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Fighter + Tactical
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 25
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $599 → $119 → $772 → $570 → $839 → $120 → $76 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Fighter + Tactical: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 25
Bottom 30% $59 (exactly $59)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $3.1k (exactly $3,120)
Top 5% $55k (exactly $54,845)
Developers, 2 yr 25
Released games 96
Announced 47
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.00

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 15% on the market, supply 80% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 28%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load
Tactical
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
3D Fighter, Tactical; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Simulation, Spectacle fighter
Price point
$4.00 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Atmospheric, Realistic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $4.00.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 1,122 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $59, median $360, 1 in 4 over $3.1k, 1 in 20 over $54k.

3 in 10 developers made under $59. All of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 47 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ManagementFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair34 devs · median $2.1k · 42 announced
  3. + Walking SimulatorFair17 devs · median $1.2k · 3 announced
  4. + Choose Your Own AdventureLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  5. + RhythmLong shot9 devs · median $898 · 8 announced
  6. + CollectathonLong shot15 devs · median $598 · 6 announced
  7. + ModernLong shot12 devs · median $539 · 10 announced
  8. + SimulationLong shot83 devs · median $538 · 96 announced
  9. + FightingPoor odds55 devs · median $5.0k · 87 announced
  10. + WrestlingPoor odds11 devs · median $2.3k · 21 announced
  11. + Life SimPoor odds10 devs · median $2.1k · 21 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds14 devs · median $1.6k · 25 announced

All 126 pairs on the 3D Fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

RUMBLE 2022 · EA · $2.4M Ludus Magnatus: Gladiator Manager Simulator 2026 · EA · $459k Punch A Bunch 2023 · $433k Tactic Boxing 2024 · $125k Boxing Club Manager 2022 · $104k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
RUMBLE · EA older $24.99 3,158 87% 95k $2.4M (exactly $2,367,553) Buckethead Entertainment
Ludus Magnatus: Gladiator Manager Simulator · EA $24.99 612 81% 18k $459k (exactly $458,816) Contec Games
Punch A Bunch older $14.99 963 74% 29k $433k (exactly $433,061) Pontypants
Tactic Boxing older $9.99 416 77% 12k $125k (exactly $124,675) Stately Eagle Games
Boxing Club Manager older $39.99 87 57% 2.6k $104k (exactly $104,374) Alternative Software Ltd
Magical Battle Festa older $9.99 263 68% 7.9k $79k (exactly $78,821) Fly System
Cyberpunk SFX $9.99 183 83% 5.5k $55k (exactly $54,845) Whale Rock Games
Boreal Blade older $3.99 451 71% 14k $54k (exactly $53,985) Frozenbyte
Sumotori Dreams Classic older $4.99 269 96% 8.1k $40k (exactly $40,269) Peter Soltesz
Age of Gladiators II: Death League older $12.99 84 71% 2.5k $33k (exactly $32,735) Creative Storm Entertainment
Rise of a Legend · EA $17.99 49 77% 1.5k $26k (exactly $26,445) Masquarade, Nicholas St. Germain
Dynasty Protocol $17.99 36 63% 1.1k $19k (exactly $19,429) Ellipses Studios
Wasteland with Robots $9.99 34 94% 1.0k $10k (exactly $10,190) Gamesforgames
DEN PAIN $2.04 110 88% 3.3k $6.7k (exactly $6,732) TXC
Doctor Pigeon Simulator $4.00 26 84% 780 $3.1k (exactly $3,120) Peperoni Games
Hunter Moonstrike : Ai NPCs version $15.99 4 0% 120 $1.9k (exactly $1,919) 10nstudio
CPU Invaders - Aim Hero $0.99 53 100% 1.6k $1.6k (exactly $1,574) Microblast Games
Ultimate Soccer $2.99 15 73% 450 $1.3k (exactly $1,346) Grands

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.