Do I ship it?

Games3D Fighter3D Fighter + Survival

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Survival 3D Fighter?

3D Fighter + Survival

Of 35 developers who shipped a Survival 3D Fighter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 49 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $180 in the last 2 years and $330 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build. 21 developers shipped in the last year and 49 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 35% on the market, 49 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Fighter + Survival
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 35
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $359 → $809 → $772 → $270 → $148 → $299 → $150 (still earning) → $359 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Fighter + Survival: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 35
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $179 (exactly $179)
Top 25% $899 (exactly $899)
Top 5% $13k (exactly $12,529)
Developers, 2 yr 35
Released games 144
Announced 49
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 24%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load
Survival
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
3D Fighter, Survival; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Action-Adventure
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 73% positive over 494 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $180, 1 in 4 over $890, 1 in 20 over $12k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. All of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 49 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ManagementFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair34 devs · median $2.1k · 42 announced
  3. + Walking SimulatorFair17 devs · median $1.2k · 3 announced
  4. + Choose Your Own AdventureLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  5. + RhythmLong shot9 devs · median $898 · 8 announced
  6. + CollectathonLong shot15 devs · median $598 · 6 announced
  7. + ModernLong shot12 devs · median $539 · 10 announced
  8. + SimulationLong shot83 devs · median $538 · 96 announced
  9. + FightingPoor odds55 devs · median $5.0k · 87 announced
  10. + WrestlingPoor odds11 devs · median $2.3k · 21 announced
  11. + Life SimPoor odds10 devs · median $2.1k · 21 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds14 devs · median $1.6k · 25 announced

All 126 pairs on the 3D Fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Clone Drone in the Danger Zone older $19.99 36,084 96% 1.1M $22M (exactly $21,639,575) Doborog Games
Cultivation Magic World · EA $12.99 276 78% 8.3k $108k (exactly $107,557) DMG Studio
Trailer Shop Simulator older $4.99 265 73% 8.0k $40k (exactly $39,670) GidAzGames
Nyaaaanvy older $9.99 69 97% 2.1k $21k (exactly $20,679) Team DigitalMind
J15 Jet Fighter VR (歼15舰载机) · EA older $9.99 44 47% 1.3k $13k (exactly $13,187) Magicvalley Studio
Wild Alone $10.99 38 47% 1.1k $13k (exactly $12,529) Wild Alone 21
Geometry Survivor older $4.99 82 69% 2.5k $12k (exactly $12,275) Brain Seal Ltd
Gorilla Vs 100 Men $4.99 81 70% 2.4k $12k (exactly $12,126) GrodGames
Steel Knight's ARMIS $9.99 40 57% 1.2k $12k (exactly $11,988) Izanami Game Lab, Inc., FORCES
DzombZ · EA older $12.99 29 68% 870 $11k (exactly $11,301) Houari Mohamed Amine
Wasteland with Robots $9.99 34 94% 1.0k $10k (exactly $10,190) Gamesforgames
Bastion of Valor · EA $11.99 7 42% 210 $2.5k (exactly $2,518) Badger Game Studios
Hunter Moonstrike : Ai NPCs version $15.99 4 0% 120 $1.9k (exactly $1,919) 10nstudio
Kings of Cratia $4.99 7 100% 210 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) eniscoskun
Hellfire Rampage VR $9.99 3 66% 90 $899 (exactly $899) Nazar Korinnyi
The Final Shuffle $5.99 4 50% 120 $719 (exactly $719) KaashFusionStudio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.