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Should I ship a Survival 3D Fighter?
3D Fighter + Survival
Of 35 developers who shipped a Survival 3D Fighter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 49 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $180 in the last 2 years and $330 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build. 21 developers shipped in the last year and 49 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $119 (exactly $119) |
|---|---|
| Median | $179 (exactly $179) |
| Top 25% | $899 (exactly $899) |
| Top 5% | $13k (exactly $12,529) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 35 |
| Released games | 144 |
| Announced | 49 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 24%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- 3D Fighter
- effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load
- Survival
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- 3D Fighter, Survival; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Action-Adventure
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
- Art
- 6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 73% positive over 494 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $120. All of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 49 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
3D Fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + ManagementFair
- + Female ProtagonistFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + Choose Your Own AdventureLong shot
- + RhythmLong shot
- + CollectathonLong shot
- + ModernLong shot
- + SimulationLong shot
- + FightingPoor odds
- + WrestlingPoor odds
- + Life SimPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Clone Drone in the Danger Zone | older | $19.99 | 36,084 96% | 1.1M | $22M (exactly $21,639,575) | Doborog Games |
| | Cultivation Magic World | · EA | $12.99 | 276 78% | 8.3k | $108k (exactly $107,557) | DMG Studio |
| | Trailer Shop Simulator | older | $4.99 | 265 73% | 8.0k | $40k (exactly $39,670) | GidAzGames |
| | Nyaaaanvy | older | $9.99 | 69 97% | 2.1k | $21k (exactly $20,679) | Team DigitalMind |
| | J15 Jet Fighter VR (歼15舰载机) | · EA older | $9.99 | 44 47% | 1.3k | $13k (exactly $13,187) | Magicvalley Studio |
| | Wild Alone | $10.99 | 38 47% | 1.1k | $13k (exactly $12,529) | Wild Alone 21 | |
| | Geometry Survivor | older | $4.99 | 82 69% | 2.5k | $12k (exactly $12,275) | Brain Seal Ltd |
| | Gorilla Vs 100 Men | $4.99 | 81 70% | 2.4k | $12k (exactly $12,126) | GrodGames | |
| | Steel Knight's ARMIS | $9.99 | 40 57% | 1.2k | $12k (exactly $11,988) | Izanami Game Lab, Inc., FORCES | |
| | DzombZ | · EA older | $12.99 | 29 68% | 870 | $11k (exactly $11,301) | Houari Mohamed Amine |
| | Wasteland with Robots | $9.99 | 34 94% | 1.0k | $10k (exactly $10,190) | Gamesforgames | |
| | Bastion of Valor | · EA | $11.99 | 7 42% | 210 | $2.5k (exactly $2,518) | Badger Game Studios |
| | Hunter Moonstrike : Ai NPCs version | $15.99 | 4 0% | 120 | $1.9k (exactly $1,919) | 10nstudio | |
| | Kings of Cratia | $4.99 | 7 100% | 210 | $1.0k (exactly $1,048) | eniscoskun | |
| | Hellfire Rampage VR | $9.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $899 (exactly $899) | Nazar Korinnyi | |
| | The Final Shuffle | $5.99 | 4 50% | 120 | $719 (exactly $719) | KaashFusionStudio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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