Do I ship it?

Games3D Fighter3D Fighter + Strategy RPG

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Strategy RPG 3D Fighter?

3D Fighter + Strategy RPG

Only 9 developers shipped a Strategy RPG 3D Fighter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Ludus Magnatus: Gladiator Manager Simulator, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 12 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $480 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build. 8 developers shipped in the last year and 12 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 12 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Fighter + Strategy RPG
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for 3D Fighter + Strategy RPG: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $479 (exactly $479)
Top 25% $108k (exactly $107,557)
Top 5% $459k (exactly $458,816)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 33
Announced 12
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 300% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load
Strategy RPG
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
3D Fighter, Strategy RPG
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 6 games average 79% positive over 1,251 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $480, 1 in 4 over $100k, 1 in 20 over $450k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 12 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ManagementFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair34 devs · median $2.1k · 42 announced
  3. + Walking SimulatorFair17 devs · median $1.2k · 3 announced
  4. + Choose Your Own AdventureLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  5. + RhythmLong shot9 devs · median $898 · 8 announced
  6. + CollectathonLong shot15 devs · median $598 · 6 announced
  7. + ModernLong shot12 devs · median $539 · 10 announced
  8. + SimulationLong shot83 devs · median $538 · 96 announced
  9. + FightingPoor odds55 devs · median $5.0k · 87 announced
  10. + WrestlingPoor odds11 devs · median $2.3k · 21 announced
  11. + Life SimPoor odds10 devs · median $2.1k · 21 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds14 devs · median $1.6k · 25 announced

All 126 pairs on the 3D Fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Ludus Magnatus: Gladiator Manager Simulator · EA $24.99 612 81% 18k $459k (exactly $458,816) Contec Games
Blood Crawler $12.99 279 76% 8.4k $109k (exactly $108,726) c3アート
Cultivation Magic World · EA $12.99 276 78% 8.3k $108k (exactly $107,557) DMG Studio
Age of Gladiators II: Death League older $12.99 84 71% 2.5k $33k (exactly $32,735) Creative Storm Entertainment
Boxing Simulator $7.99 79 79% 2.4k $19k (exactly $18,936) Inogames
Kindred Fates: Combat Arena older $44.99 9 88% 270 $12k (exactly $12,147) Skymill Studios
Ruzar - The Dark Stones older $17.99 21 76% 630 $11k (exactly $11,334) Hammer Glass Studio Inc.
BadDool older $2.99 18 83% 540 $1.6k (exactly $1,615) andiegoesindie, robinz, StudioStudioStu… (andiegoesindie, robinz, StudioStudioStudioStudio)
The Pirate King Ultimate older $6.99 5 40% 150 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) KATSU
Iron Skies $7.99 2 50% 60 $479 (exactly $479) Matthew Lalande
A Camera Duel! $3.99 3 66% 90 $359 (exactly $359) JamieEng542
Enlil: Rise Of the End · EA $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) HAPPYTECH
Battleship 2 $8.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Priyam Jain, Matthew Lalande
Grainhold $7.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) CreakGames
Demon Breaker $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Matthew Lalande

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.