Do I ship it?

Games3D Fighter3D Fighter + Strategy

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Strategy 3D Fighter?

3D Fighter + Strategy

Of 68 developers who shipped a Strategy 3D Fighter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 114 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $240 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build. 40 developers shipped in the last year and 114 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 114 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Fighter + Strategy
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 68
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $386 → $807 → $1.2k → $179 → $598 → $75 → $76 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Fighter + Strategy: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 68
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $239 (exactly $239)
Top 25% $839 (exactly $839)
Top 5% $19k (exactly $19,429)
Developers, 2 yr 68
Released games 256
Announced 114
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 23%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Fighter
effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load
Strategy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
3D Fighter, Strategy; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Combat
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 76% positive over 1,766 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $240, 1 in 4 over $830, 1 in 20 over $19k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. Nearly all of the 47 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 114 games are announced against 40 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ManagementFair11 devs · median $3.1k · 15 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair34 devs · median $2.1k · 42 announced
  3. + Walking SimulatorFair17 devs · median $1.2k · 3 announced
  4. + Choose Your Own AdventureLong shot17 devs · median $1.0k · 20 announced
  5. + RhythmLong shot9 devs · median $898 · 8 announced
  6. + CollectathonLong shot15 devs · median $598 · 6 announced
  7. + ModernLong shot12 devs · median $539 · 10 announced
  8. + SimulationLong shot83 devs · median $538 · 96 announced
  9. + FightingPoor odds55 devs · median $5.0k · 87 announced
  10. + WrestlingPoor odds11 devs · median $2.3k · 21 announced
  11. + Life SimPoor odds10 devs · median $2.1k · 21 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds14 devs · median $1.6k · 25 announced

All 126 pairs on the 3D Fighter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
DNF Duel older $49.99 3,693 64% 111k $5.5M (exactly $5,538,392) NEOPLE Inc., Arc System Works, EIGHTING… (NEOPLE Inc., Arc System Works, EIGHTING Co., Ltd.)
NARUTO SHIPPUDEN: Ultimate Ninja STORM 2 older $19.99 3,457 88% 104k $2.1M (exactly $2,073,163) CyberConnect2 Co. Ltd.
Troublemaker older $19.99 938 89% 28k $563k (exactly $562,519) Gamecom Team
MageQuit older $14.99 1,032 94% 31k $464k (exactly $464,090) Bowlcut Studios
Ludus Magnatus: Gladiator Manager Simulator · EA $24.99 612 81% 18k $459k (exactly $458,816) Contec Games
Wretch: Divine Ascent $14.99 975 75% 29k $438k (exactly $438,458) Ogopogo
Boxing Club Manager older $39.99 87 57% 2.6k $104k (exactly $104,374) Alternative Software Ltd
Bloody Knuckles Street Boxing · EA older $14.99 210 52% 6.3k $94k (exactly $94,437) Luvseatshawty
Electro Bop Boxing League $14.99 84 79% 2.5k $38k (exactly $37,775) Developer Dob
Age of Gladiators II: Death League older $12.99 84 71% 2.5k $33k (exactly $32,735) Creative Storm Entertainment
Dynasty Protocol $17.99 36 63% 1.1k $19k (exactly $19,429) Ellipses Studios
Bridge Hunter · EA $9.99 12 100% 360 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Double Light
Hidden Heir $4.99 21 66% 630 $3.1k (exactly $3,144) AYS CODE YAZILIM
Bastion of Valor · EA $11.99 7 42% 210 $2.5k (exactly $2,518) Badger Game Studios
Final Strategy $12.99 6 16% 180 $2.3k (exactly $2,338) Final Strategy Studio
Tank Simulator $8.99 8 12% 240 $2.2k (exactly $2,158) Imperian Online - Praha
Gore Sword $9.99 5 20% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) Gore Sword Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.