Games › 3D Fighter › 3D Fighter + Strategy
Should I ship a Strategy 3D Fighter?
3D Fighter + Strategy
Of 68 developers who shipped a Strategy 3D Fighter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 114 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $240 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build. 40 developers shipped in the last year and 114 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $30 (exactly $30) |
|---|---|
| Median | $239 (exactly $239) |
| Top 25% | $839 (exactly $839) |
| Top 5% | $19k (exactly $19,429) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 68 |
| Released games | 256 |
| Announced | 114 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 35% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 23%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- 3D Fighter
- effort 7 / 10 · low · 3D hit volumes plus the fighting-game tuning load
- Strategy
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- 3D Fighter, Strategy; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Combat
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 76% positive over 1,766 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. Nearly all of the 47 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 114 games are announced against 40 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
3D Fighter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + ManagementFair
- + Female ProtagonistFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + Choose Your Own AdventureLong shot
- + RhythmLong shot
- + CollectathonLong shot
- + ModernLong shot
- + SimulationLong shot
- + FightingPoor odds
- + WrestlingPoor odds
- + Life SimPoor odds
- + HistoricalPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | DNF Duel | older | $49.99 | 3,693 64% | 111k | $5.5M (exactly $5,538,392) | NEOPLE Inc., Arc System Works, EIGHTING… (NEOPLE Inc., Arc System Works, EIGHTING Co., Ltd.) |
| | NARUTO SHIPPUDEN: Ultimate Ninja STORM 2 | older | $19.99 | 3,457 88% | 104k | $2.1M (exactly $2,073,163) | CyberConnect2 Co. Ltd. |
| | Troublemaker | older | $19.99 | 938 89% | 28k | $563k (exactly $562,519) | Gamecom Team |
| | MageQuit | older | $14.99 | 1,032 94% | 31k | $464k (exactly $464,090) | Bowlcut Studios |
| | Ludus Magnatus: Gladiator Manager Simulator | · EA | $24.99 | 612 81% | 18k | $459k (exactly $458,816) | Contec Games |
| | Wretch: Divine Ascent | $14.99 | 975 75% | 29k | $438k (exactly $438,458) | Ogopogo | |
| | Boxing Club Manager | older | $39.99 | 87 57% | 2.6k | $104k (exactly $104,374) | Alternative Software Ltd |
| | Bloody Knuckles Street Boxing | · EA older | $14.99 | 210 52% | 6.3k | $94k (exactly $94,437) | Luvseatshawty |
| | Electro Bop Boxing League | $14.99 | 84 79% | 2.5k | $38k (exactly $37,775) | Developer Dob | |
| | Age of Gladiators II: Death League | older | $12.99 | 84 71% | 2.5k | $33k (exactly $32,735) | Creative Storm Entertainment |
| | Dynasty Protocol | $17.99 | 36 63% | 1.1k | $19k (exactly $19,429) | Ellipses Studios | |
| | Bridge Hunter | · EA | $9.99 | 12 100% | 360 | $3.6k (exactly $3,596) | Double Light |
| | Hidden Heir | $4.99 | 21 66% | 630 | $3.1k (exactly $3,144) | AYS CODE YAZILIM | |
| | Bastion of Valor | · EA | $11.99 | 7 42% | 210 | $2.5k (exactly $2,518) | Badger Game Studios |
| | Final Strategy | $12.99 | 6 16% | 180 | $2.3k (exactly $2,338) | Final Strategy Studio | |
| | Tank Simulator | $8.99 | 8 12% | 240 | $2.2k (exactly $2,158) | Imperian Online - Praha | |
| | Gore Sword | $9.99 | 5 20% | 150 | $1.5k (exactly $1,498) | Gore Sword Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.